real estate Milan

World Capital Group: Milan Office Market Analysis – Q3 2024

By Columbus International,6 November 2024

World Capital Group has released an in-depth analysis of Milan’s commercial real estate market for the third quarter of 2024, reaffirming the preeminence of the City Center and Garibaldi districts in Italy’s prime office sector.

Market Overview
The Milan office market demonstrates exceptional resilience, characterized by sustained rental rates across both metropolitan and suburban locations. The REAI_O (Real Estate Attractiveness Index Office) substantiates this robust performance, underscoring Milan’s increasing appeal to institutional investors.

Rental Rates and Investment Yields
The historic core, particularly the Duomo district, commands premium rents ranging from €570 to €730 per square meter annually. Investment yields in central locations average 4.3%, with the Business District achieving a compressed yield of 4.2%. Semi-peripheral areas exhibit more attractive yields, peaking at 7% in emerging submarkets such as Città Studi, Pasteur, Rovereto, and NoLo.

REAI_O: Advanced Market Analytics
The sophisticated REAI_O index, engineered to quantify district-specific market attractiveness, incorporates key performance indicators:

Rental values
Capital values
Investment yields
Market fundamentals
Sector-specific metrics

Submarket Performance
The REAI_O index highlights exceptional performance across key submarkets: Prime Central Business District:

Duomo: 127.31
Centrale/Repubblica: 100.48
Garibaldi/Moscova/Porta Nuova: 96.23

Greater Metropolitan Area:

Assago: 7.17
Segrate: 5.39
San Donato Milanese: 5.29

The metropolitan area’s robust economic fundamentals continue to drive growth in peripheral submarkets, reinforcing Milan’s status as Italy’s premier commercial real estate destination.

Market Outlook
Marco Clerici, Head of Research & Advisory at World Capital Group, observes: “Milan consistently reinforces its position as the epicenter of Italy’s commercial real estate sector. The city’s proven ability to attract domestic and international occupiers, coupled with its dynamic urban transformation, establishes it as a benchmark for European commercial centers. Our Q3 2024 findings demonstrate how Milan’s strategic development initiatives and enhanced market fundamentals sustain its competitive advantage both nationally and within the broader European context.”

Source: Monitor Immobiliare

La Lombardia è la regione con più transazioni in Italia

Real Estate Boom: Milan Leads Italy’s Property Market Surge

By Columbus International,2 October 2024

In a striking display of resilience, Italy’s northern real estate market continues to defy economic headwinds, with Milan and Monza emerging as frontrunners in property value appreciation. The latest data from the Chamber of Commerce of Milan, Monza, and Lodi reveals a robust growth trajectory, particularly in these key urban centers, despite a concurrent slowdown in transaction volumes.

Milan: The Unstoppable Metropolis

Milan, Italy’s financial and fashion capital, maintains its allure for property investors, recording a 2% increase in residential real estate prices during the first half of 2024. This uptick brings the average price per square meter to a substantial €6,520, reinforcing the city’s status as a prime real estate market in Europe.

The city’s southern district has emerged as the hotspot for growth, experiencing a remarkable 6% surge in property values. This trend underscores the evolving dynamics of Milan’s urban landscape, with previously overlooked areas now capturing investor interest.

Monza: The Dark Horse of Italian Real Estate

In a surprising turn of events, Monza has outpaced its more famous neighbor, posting an impressive 7% growth in property prices. With average values now reaching €3,444 per square meter, Monza is rapidly positioning itself as an attractive alternative for investors priced out of Milan’s premium market.

The city’s northern sector has been particularly dynamic, with prices soaring by 9% to reach an average of €3,869 per square meter. This surge indicates a growing recognition of Monza’s potential as a residential and investment destination.

Market Challenges and Future Outlook

Despite the positive price trends, both Milan and Monza face headwinds in terms of transaction volumes. Milan witnessed a 13% decline in residential property transactions in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the previous year, with similar trends observed in Monza and Lodi.

Guido Bardelli, Milan’s Housing Councilor, acknowledges the pressing need to address affordability concerns. “Milan’s attractiveness now poses a challenge: ensuring housing accessibility for the middle class struggling with current market costs,” Bardelli states, highlighting the city’s commitment to expanding social housing initiatives.

Investment Implications

For investors, the current market dynamics present both opportunities and challenges. The continued price appreciation in prime locations suggests potential for capital gains, particularly in emerging areas like Milan’s southern district or Monza’s northern sector. However, the decline in transaction volumes signals a need for cautious strategy, with a focus on long-term value rather than quick turnovers.

As Italy’s northern real estate market navigates through these complex trends, it remains a beacon of growth in Europe’s property landscape. With strategic policy interventions and innovative development approaches, cities like Milan and Monza are poised to maintain their appeal, balancing growth with accessibility in the years to come.

Milan’s Real Estate Market Faces Challenges Amidst Italy’s Property Rebound

By Columbus International,15 September 2024

In a surprising turn of events, Italy’s real estate market is showing signs of life after six consecutive quarters of decline. However, Milan, the country’s financial powerhouse, finds itself swimming against the tide. According to recent data from the Italian Revenue Agency (Agenzia delle Entrate), the national property market has experienced a modest 1.2% growth compared to the same period in 2023, with 186,324 transactions recorded in the second quarter of 2024.

National Trends vs. Milan’s Anomaly

While cities like Rome (+3.4%) and Genoa (+3.9%) are leading the charge in this nascent recovery, Milan has registered a significant 7.3% drop in property transactions. This stark contrast raises questions about the factors influencing the Lombard capital’s real estate landscape.

The Milan Paradox

Milan’s declining property sales come with an interesting twist. Long-term rental agreements in the city have seen a 1% increase, while agreements under controlled rent schemes have skyrocketed by an astounding 153%. However, it’s crucial to note that this percentage represents a relatively small number—only 948 contracts were signed under these terms during the quarter.

Shifting Preferences in Property Types

Across Italy, including Milan, there’s a noticeable trend in the types of properties changing hands. Two-bedroom apartments and larger units are seeing increased demand. Industry experts attribute this to two distinct buyer groups:

Investors and young couples/singles opting for compact, two-bedroom units
Families seeking larger spaces to accommodate evolving lifestyle needs, including home offices and multi-functional areas

Economic Factors at Play

The broader Italian market’s recovery is being fueled by several economic factors:

Inflation has nearly reached the European Central Bank’s 2% target
Interest rates are on a gradual downward trajectory
71% of purchases were made using “first-home” tax benefits, a 7% increase from the previous year
41% of transactions involved mortgage financing

Regional Variations

The national uptick isn’t uniform across all regions. Smaller municipalities are outperforming larger cities with a 1.6% increase in transactions, compared to just 0.2% in provincial capitals. This suggests a potential shift in preferences towards suburban or rural living.

Looking Ahead

Despite Milan’s current slump, many real estate professionals remain cautiously optimistic about the market’s future. The stabilizing economic indicators and the pent-up demand for housing suggest that the second half of 2024 could bring more positive developments for Italy’s property sector, including its fashion and finance capital.

As Milan navigates these challenging waters, investors and potential homebuyers would do well to keep a close eye on how the city’s unique market dynamics evolve in response to broader national trends.

Source: Sky Tg24

Milan’s Green Revolution: Bosconavigli Brings the Forest to the City

By Columbus International,1 August 20241 August 2024

In the heart of Milan’s historic San Cristoforo neighborhood, a groundbreaking residential complex is redefining urban living. Bosconavigli, designed by the renowned Stefano Boeri Architetti in collaboration with Arassociati and AG&P greenscape, is not just another apartment building – it’s a vertical forest that bridges the gap between city life and nature.

This innovative project reimagines the traditional Lombard courtyard house, spiraling upwards to create a harmonious blend of architecture and greenery. With 170 trees of 60 different species adorning its facades, roofs, and balconies, Bosconavigli is a testament to sustainable urban development. But Bosconavigli is more than just a pretty face.

The complex offers 90 apartments, each designed with large outdoor spaces that serve as “outdoor rooms,” blurring the line between interior and exterior living. Public amenities, including a restaurant-bistro and wellness facilities, make it a true community hub. The project’s commitment to sustainability goes beyond its lush greenery. Solar panels, rainwater harvesting, and geothermal energy production are just a few of the eco-friendly features integrated into the design. Moreover, the building’s green elements act as natural barriers against noise and air pollution, enhancing the quality of life for residents. Bosconavigli isn’t just changing the skyline of Milan – it’s changing the way we think about urban living. As cities worldwide grapple with environmental challenges, this project offers a glimpse into a greener, more sustainable future where nature and architecture coexist in perfect harmony.

Photo via Bosconavigli

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Italy, Real Estate Market Evolution: A New Era of Opportunities for Buyers

By Columbus International,11 July 2024

The real estate sector is undergoing a significant transformation, ushering in a new era of opportunities for prospective homeowners and investors alike. Recent data from the Italian Revenue Agency reveals a market rebalancing that is fostering greater price flexibility and buyer-friendly conditions.

Fabiana Megliola, head of the Tecnocasa Group Research Office, reports an increase in the average discount to 8.3%, marking a shift from the recent period of intense market activity to a more reflective phase. This transition is creating a fertile ground for buyers to negotiate more favorable terms and secure better value for their investments.

A closer look at different property categories unveils intriguing market dynamics:

Used Properties: With an average discount of 8.5%, these offer the most room for negotiation. This presents an excellent opportunity for buyers to acquire properties at competitive prices and invest in custom renovations, potentially increasing long-term value.
Renovated Homes: Offering a 7.5% discount, these properties strike a balance between move-in readiness and value for money.
New Constructions: At a 4.5% discount, these remain attractive for those seeking modern, ready-to-use living spaces with minimal immediate maintenance needs.

Investors stand to benefit significantly in the current market, with discounts of up to 12% on investment properties. This trend could stimulate the rental market and provide more housing options in urban areas.

The market is also becoming more attuned to diverse buyer preferences. Ground floor apartments now come with more substantial discounts (8.5%), catering to those prioritizing accessibility or outdoor space. Top floor units, with a 7.7% discount, continue to appeal to buyers seeking views or added privacy.

While sales have slowed in the first quarter of 2024, this should be viewed as a market normalization rather than a downturn. This cooling period allows buyers more time to conduct due diligence, evaluate multiple options, and negotiate optimal terms.

In conclusion, the Italian real estate market is evolving towards a more balanced and sustainable model. The current landscape offers a unique confluence of factors – price flexibility, diverse property options, and a buyer-friendly environment – making it an opportune time for both personal home purchases and strategic property investments. As the market continues to adapt, it promises to better align with the changing needs and preferences of a new generation of property owners and investors.

Source: Il Sole 24 Ore

Milan: Real Estate Market Evolves Amidst Stability and Growth

By Columbus International,5 July 2024

Milan’s real estate market continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience, with contrasting dynamics between the sales and rental sectors. According to the latest report from idealista’s Research Department, Italy’s leading real estate portal, housing prices in the Lombard capital have stabilized in the spring quarter of 2024, settling at an average of €4,987/m².

Key points:

Stability in Milan’s sales prices (+1.4% year-on-year)
Continued growth in rental rates
Variable dynamics across different neighborhoods

Market analysis:

The Historic Center remains the most expensive area at €10,311/m²
San Siro-Trenno-Figino leads quarterly increases (+3.3%)
Vialba-Gallaratese records the most significant decline (-4.8%)

In the hinterland, a slightly negative trend is observed, with a 1.2% decrease and an average of €3,389/m². Assago emerges as the most expensive municipality (€3,647/m²), while Grezzago offers the most accessible prices (€1,054/m²).

The rental market, on the other hand, continues its upward trajectory. A 55-square-meter apartment in the heart of Milan now costs an average of €1,760 per month, highlighting increasing pressure on the rental market.

Andrea Napoli, CEO of Locare, offers insight: “The lack of adequate protections is pushing landlords towards short-term rentals, drastically reducing the supply for long-term residents.”

Key factors influencing this trend:

High purchase prices
Interest rates that remain elevated
Growing demand for tourist rentals

The future of Milan’s real estate market remains uncertain, but it’s clear that the city is undergoing a transformation phase, presenting both opportunities and challenges for investors and residents alike.

Italian Real Estate Market in 2024: Growth and Challenges Between Milan and Florence

By Columbus International,20 December 2023

What will be the fate of the Italian real estate market in 2024? There is a potential increase in property values, marking a departure from the relatively stable trends observed in 2023. This forecast stems from an analysis conducted by Immobiliare.it Insights, which identifies Milan as the city with the most expensive real estate transactions, while Florence stands out for having the highest rental prices.

Regarding sales, the report predicts a 6% increase in Catania, 4.1% in Verona, 2% in Milan, and 1.1% in Rome. For rentals, a significant increase is expected in Naples (+16.8%) and Florence, where an 18% rise is anticipated. Despite not experiencing the highest percentage growth, Milan will maintain its position as the city with the highest sales prices. In the Lombard capital, the purchase of a property is expected to average almost €5,500 per square meter, representing an increase of about €100 per square meter compared to current values. Positive fluctuations, around +3%, are also anticipated for Naples, Genoa, Bari, Venice, and Turin. The projected prices per square meter vary widely, ranging from €3,415 per square meter in Venice to €1,707 per square meter in Genoa. Additionally, both Bari and Turin are expected to surpass €2,000 per square meter by the end of the next year, marking a new development for both cities. The situation is different concerning rentals.

In 2024, Milan may lose its position as the city with the most expensive rentals. According to Immobiliare.it’s analysis, Florence is expected to approach €29 per square meter by the end of the following year, an increase from the current €24.5 per square meter. Milan, despite an increase to €25 per square meter, will be positioned behind the Tuscan capital but still on the rise compared to the current €24.7 per square meter. According to the report, in terms of sales volumes, both 2023 and 2024 deviate from the exceptional performance recorded in 2022, and the trend will return to a more regular pace, similar to what would have been expected in the absence of the Covid-related crisis.