real estate

Jeff Bezos’ bold move: Miami beckons as he leaves Seattle behind (Source: People)

By Columbus International,3 November 2023

The Amazon Titan, Jeff Bezos, is trading the rain-soaked Pacific Northwest for the sun-drenched allure of Miami’s real estate scene. The 59-year-old tech mogul made a splash on Instagram when he unveiled his plans to relocate to Miami in the near future. In his social media announcement, Bezos shared a nostalgic clip from the early days of Amazon, reflecting on his roots in Seattle. “Seattle has been my home since 1994 when I started Amazon out of my garage,” he fondly reminisced. Notably, Bezos revealed that his father, Miguel Bezos, played the role of the cameraman in the video, adding a personal touch to the post.

“My parents [Miguel and Jacklyn] have always been my biggest supporters. They recently moved back to Miami, the place we lived when I was younger (Miami Palmetto High class of ’82 — GO Panthers!).” Bezos went on to explain the driving force behind his upcoming relocation, stating, “I want to be close to my parents, and [fiancée] Lauren and I love Miami.” He also highlighted the shifting focus of his aerospace company, Blue Origin, towards Florida’s Cape Canaveral. While expressing his deep attachment to Seattle, Bezos acknowledged the bittersweet emotions surrounding the move. “As exciting as the move is, it’s an emotional decision for me. Seattle, you will always have a piece of my heart.” In the video clip from 1994, a young Bezos guided a tour of Amazon’s early headquarters in his three-bedroom Seattle home. The scene showcased a cluttered yet promising office space filled with papers, books, fax machines, and dated computers. Bezos humorously quipped, “That’s about it. It doesn’t take long to tour the offices of Amazon.com.”

This monumental decision to relocate follows Bezos’ recent acquisition of a luxurious seven-bedroom mansion on a private island in Miami’s Biscayne Bay. The opulent property, nestled on a man-made island, was secured in September for an impressive $79 million, according to Bloomberg. This purchase came on the heels of Bezos’ earlier acquisition of a neighboring home in June, which he acquired for $68 million.

Together, these two properties span approximately 1.8 acres on the exclusive Florida island, marking a significant footprint in Miami’s real estate landscape. Before embarking on this real estate adventure, Bezos took another significant step in his personal life when he proposed to his girlfriend, Lauren Sánchez, in late May. Friends close to the couple expressed their excitement, describing it as “her dream come true.” Bezos and Sánchez made their relationship public in 2019, following Bezos’ divorce from his wife of 25 years, MacKenzie. Miami is now poised to be the backdrop for the next chapter in Bezos’ extraordinary journey.

Source: People

Milan’s Shifting Real Estate Landscape: Metro Influence and Emerging Investment Opportunities

By Columbus International,2 November 2023

The real estate market in Milan is constantly evolving, thanks in part to the development of local infrastructure, particularly the metro network, which has become an essential mode of transportation for many residents. The proximity to a metro station has a significant impact on housing prices, but this also depends on the type of property, whether it’s new or used, renovated or in need of renovation.

In a recent market analysis conducted by Abitare Co., a significant difference in price increases has emerged over the last 5 years between used and fixer-upper homes and those that are new or completely renovated. This difference is particularly noticeable when homes are located near one of Milan’s 5 metro lines: the Red, Yellow, Green, Lilac, and even the Blue line, which is still under construction. Examining different metro stops reveals substantial price differences in certain lines. For instance, on the Red line, the highest price per square meter is found in the areas of Molino Dorino and San Leonardo, with prices around 2,500 euros, whereas in the Duomo, Conciliazione, and San Babila areas, prices exceed 10,000 euros per square meter, reaching as high as 15,500 euros around Duomo. Generally, prices on the Red line are not considered affordable, with eight stops surpassing 10,000 euros per square meter. Additionally, prices increase significantly in the areas north of Loreto and Sesto San Giovanni, with over 40% increases near Porta Venezia. Prices in the Duomo area are incomparable to those on the Yellow line, where, for example, Montenapoleone reaches 19,000 euros per square meter, with a 43.2% increase. Affordable housing can be found in areas like Porto di Mare (2,900 euros), Comasina (2,950 euros), and Affori FN (3,100 euros). A similar trend is observed on the Green line, with areas like Cascina Gobba and Crescenzago having prices around 3,300 euros per square meter, and areas like Moscova and Garibaldi experiencing increases of 44.6% and 36.9% due to the redevelopment of Porta Nuova. Stops between Porta Genova and Piazza Abbiategrasso have an average price slightly below 5,000 euros. On the Blue line, prices in the San Cristoforo area recently reached 5,200 euros per square meter, reflecting a more than 40% increase due to high-quality residential projects such as Bosco Navigli. For more affordable prices, one can consider areas like Gelsomini and Segneri, offering properties for less than 4,000 euros per square meter. Conversely, high-profile areas linked to the Blue line, like Sforza Policlinico (10,600 euros) and Santa Sofia (10,500 euros), require an investment nearly three times as high.

For more budget-friendly options, living near the Lilac line in the Bicocca area, where the average price hovers around 3,900 euros per square meter, with a 35.4% increase, is an option, although still a fraction of the prices in the City Life – Tre Torri area (12,300 euros). The Milanese metro network is set to expand further in the coming years, with urban regeneration projects planned for stops such as Isola and San Siro. The latter could become particularly strategic in light of the potential construction of two new stadiums in the Milan hinterland, like Rozzano and San Donato, though they are still in the planning and approval phases. These developments could inevitably increase the value of surrounding properties, a common occurrence in cities with national stadiums. Furthermore, the expansion of the metro network, including the possible addition of the M6 in Milan, covering Municipality 5, which currently has limited metro service, could bring significant benefits to properties in the area. The presence of prominent universities nearby could ensure a steady influx of students, making real estate investments such as buy-to-rent and build-to-rent very promising. Of course, these benefits will be fully realized once the ongoing construction work is completed.

Via Wall Street Italia

South Florida’s Real Estate Boom: A Magnet for Investment and Migration

By Columbus International,1 November 2023

We are witnessing a real estate boom in South Florida. In the heart of Miami, spaces are being cleared for the construction of the tallest office tower in Florida, with 1.5 million square meters set to house companies that previously had no presence in the state. St. Regis and Waldorf-Astoria branded condominium towers are also in the works. Even though their completion is still a way off, many of the yet-to-be-built units have already been reserved with substantial deposits from buyers.

A similar situation is occurring further north in West Palm Beach, where the arrival of financial giants like Goldman Sachs and Blackrock has driven office lease rates to record levels in the second quarter of this year. Now, new workplaces with private terraces and yacht rental access are rising along the city’s waterfront, while developers plan condominiums for future employees. “We have four or five thousand people coming to West Palm Beach who aren’t here yet,” said Nick Bienstock, CEO of New York City office landlord Savanna. Eager to play its part in this market, Savanna is making its first investment in Florida, a 275-unit condominium called Olara, part of the 3,000 new homes currently in development throughout West Palm Beach. Over three years since the start of a massive migration of money and people to the Sunshine State, Florida’s real estate market continues to outperform nearly all others in the United States. What began as a refuge from cold weather and pandemic restrictions has transformed into a place that not only welcomes the current influx of professionals but also aims to double the number of future arrivals.

“The old Florida of the 1980s is disappearing,” said Ken H. Johnson, a real estate economist at the Florida Atlantic University College of Business. “We are no longer receiving those retirees with fixed income who used to come. We are getting people with significant incomes, and they usually bring work and employment with them.” In fact, according to a recent report by financial consultant SmartAsset, Florida is the number one destination for professionals aged 25 to 36 earning at least $200,000. But the most crucial data is that in recent years, high incomes coming to Florida outnumber those leaving by a three-to-one margin. Along with the young and jobs, newcomers also bring liquidity, buying homes in a state that has far too few. The result is a market that continues to excel on nearly every superlative list. For example, out of the ten most overvalued real estate markets in the country, seven are in Florida, according to a monthly analysis co-published by Professor Johnson. This means that Florida buyers are paying the highest premiums for their homes nationally compared to price averages over the last 27 years.

The median home price in Miami rose by 14.6% in August compared to the previous year, according to the brokerage Redfin, and by 5.3% in nearby Fort Lauderdale, where the downtown population has increased by 80% since 2010. These peaks come just as other “boom cities” of the pandemic era experience continuous declines: home prices in Phoenix fell by 2% in August, Fort Worth dropped by 2.7%, and Austin, which ranked last on Redfin’s price growth list, fell by 7%. And this is the good news: these numbers follow double-digit corrections in Phoenix and Austin just a few months earlier. “Texas is different from Florida even though both are identified as states without income taxes,” said Eli Beracha, director of the Hollo School of Real Estate at Florida International University.

“Florida is seen as a tropical vacation destination – where you can also live. People don’t vacation in Dallas.” During the pandemic, Florida recorded the largest wealth migration flow in the United States. In 2021 alone, new arrivals increased the state’s taxable income by $39.3 billion, more than triple what Texas, the second-place state, did, according to the Economic Innovation Group, a Washington, D.C.-based think tank. Census data released in September suggests that this growth will continue: Florida’s population increased by 2.13% – the largest jump in the U.S. – between 2021 and 2022. “Florida is undergoing a reset and restructuring in a way that no one else is doing,” said Jonathan Miller, president of real estate appraisal company Miller Samuel. What sets this current cycle apart is “that all of this is happening without a huge amount of international demand” that fueled Florida’s previous real estate and demographic booms. So, what’s fueling it now?

“New Yorkers are the new foreign buyers,” Miller said, referring to the nearly 130,000 Empire State residents who moved to the Sunshine State in 2021 and 2022 alone. Many of these new residents split their time between cities, making Florida their primary residence, free from income taxes. Not surprisingly, there is a boom in furnished condominium construction in Miami designed for easy renting while owners are away. Florida has an obvious appeal for northerners. Tired of the issues of large cities such as crime and quality of life shortcomings, and drawn to the tax benefits and beachfront home offices, the state offers a ready-made solution to many of America’s urban problems.

“It’s just a different way people choose to live, and Miami is a big beneficiary of that,” said Nitin Motwani, managing partner of Miami Worldcenter Associates, the master developer of the 27-acre, $6 billion Miami Worldcenter district spanning 10 blocks of the city. Motwani has revealed that he regularly receives calls from executives seeking logistical assistance in relocating south. “Sometimes it’s just things like ‘Where should we look?’ Other times, it’s about discussing talent or ‘Can you put me in touch with another high-level person who has relocated?'” he said. According to news reports this year, the top schools in the Miami area have become so crowded that billionaire newcomers are literally writing million-dollar “charity” checks to secure spots for their children. From every perspective, Florida’s real estate market is exceeding expectations. While this may be good news for investors, the lack of affordable properties has become a concern for “policy makers” who are seeking to incentivize the development of more affordable apartments. A recent report by the Florida Policy Project revealed that over a million residents across the state spend over 50% of their income on housing. Rising homeowners insurance premiums only make matters worse.

According to a recent study by the Florida Apartment Association, Florida will need approximately 500,000 new housing units by 2030 to contain costs and meet future demand. Not surprisingly, Florida’s housing shortage has translated into some of the highest price increases in the nation. Since 2019, the median price of homes and condos in Miami has risen by 64%, according to Miller Samuel. This is compared to a 14% increase in Los Angeles and a 1.2% decrease in Manhattan during the same period. Even outside of Miami, price gains have been robust, with a 62% increase in Boca Raton and a 59% increase in Delray Beach. In the Palm Beach area, rich in finance, residential property has been fueled by the pandemic, with a 141% increase since the second quarter of 2019, according to Miller Samuel. While prices are beginning to stabilize, at least five homes for over $50 million have already been sold this year, including a $155 million complex sold by the widow of Rush Limbaugh. “Forty years ago, Palm Beach was a place where elderly people went for their final years, and today it absolutely isn’t anymore,” said Bienstock of Savanna.

Similar to residential developers, commercial real estate investors are contributing to the continued dominance of South Florida’s real estate, investing over $63 billion in the region’s three counties in 2021 and 2022, according to MSCI Real Assets data. In Miami, New York companies Related Cos and Swire Properties are making a high-profile bet that both human and economic capital migrations to Miami are both permanent and ongoing. They are currently constructing One Brickell City Centre, the tallest office tower in Florida, with 1.5 million square feet and a height of 1,000 feet, in downtown. Developments like One Brickell are crucial for Miami’s continued growth. Corporate relocations increased by 33% last year, while the total assets managed by financial firms in Miami rose to $390 billion in August 2022, up from $75 billion in 2019, according to the Miami Downtown Development Authority.

“The lack is represented by quality office spaces, and that’s the gap we’re trying to fill,” noted David Martin, senior vice president for retail and commercial leasing of Swire’s U.S. operation. In fact, office vacancies stood at just 10.4% in the second quarter of this year in Miami-Dade County, according to Colliers, compared to the historical high of 17.8% in Manhattan and over 30% in San Francisco. Additionally, the city center is now more easily accessible to Boca Raton and Palm Beach thanks to the new $6.2 billion Brightline high-speed rail service. Several other New York developers – from real estate titan Harry Macklowe (who once owned the GM Building), to Chrysler Building owner Aby Rosen, to the Upper East Side condo kings of the Naftali Group – are all planning their debuts in Florida. “There is still a migration of people,” says billionaire developer Richard LeFrak, who has more than doubled his South Florida staff since the pandemic hit. “It’s not as dramatic as it was during COVID, but it’s still a steady flow.”

Source: New York Post

The Uncertainty of the Real Estate Market in Italy: A Challenge in a Complex Financial Environment (Source: Monitor Immobiliare)

By Columbus International,31 October 2023

The real estate scenario in 2023, let’s admit it, is not the rosiest one. Mortgage rates are on the rise, short-term rental taxes have been “adjusted” upward, inflation is affecting entire households, and there is a looming specter called “recession.”

The sector that had resiliently weathered the pandemic crisis is now confronted with an unreachable cost of living. Indeed, the Italian real estate sector is grappling with a set of significant challenges in the first nine months of 2023. Key factors driving this situation also include difficult access to credit, increased financing costs, and competition with government bonds. These factors have had a notable impact on the contraction of the real estate investment market, as highlighted by the Real Estate Price Index (Ipi).

Despite an improvement in the macroeconomic context, the data presented in the recent Ipi report reveals a drastic decline in the real estate market, with a 65% contraction compared to the same period in 2022 and a 67% decrease compared to the five-year average. This translates to a total of only 3.16 billion euros in investments. In the third quarter, real estate transactions reached only 1.072 billion euros, in line with what was observed in the first two quarters of the year. When we delve into specific sectors, the Logistics sector emerges as the most resilient, with a total of almost 500 million euros in investments, representing over 46% of the total investments. Investments are primarily concentrated in Northern Italy.

Furthermore, there is a general increase in prime rates and net yields, remaining above 5.25%, showing a 25-basis point increase compared to the first half of the year. In the Living sector, promising results are recorded, with investment volumes in the quarter amounting to 165 million euros, making up 15% of the total for the period and a total of 455 million euros since the beginning of the year. During this quarter, 84% of investments were concentrated in Milan, mainly in residential development and urban revitalization projects, predominantly associated with the “Build to Rent” concept.

The Leisure market has been driven by a significant resurgence in tourist flows and has recorded investment volumes of approximately 107 million euros in the quarter, bringing the total for the year to 387 million euros. The most significant operations have been concentrated in the main tourist destinations in Central Italy. The Office asset class, despite registering transactions totaling 105 million euros in the quarter and 552 million euros since the beginning of 2023, reflects the cautious attitude of investors toward this segment. Milan and Rome represented 79 and 21 million euros of these transactions in the period, while other regional cities, such as Naples, continue to demonstrate good performance.

In the Retail sector, investments amounted to about 94 million euros in the quarter, bringing the total for the first three quarters to 345 million euros. This represents growth compared to the same period in 2022, thanks to various transactions related to shopping centers in regional markets. The remaining investments, around 100 million euros, were distributed among mixed-use properties, the Healthcare sector, and some smaller operations in the Alternative sector, with particular attention to telecommunication infrastructure.

In summary, the Italian real estate sector is navigating a complex financial environment, but it still presents promising opportunities in specific segments, such as logistics, residential, and tourism. Investors remain cautious, but the market shows signs of resilience and adaptation to current challenges.

Real Estate Market Downturn: Notarial Data Confirms Declining Trend

By Columbus International,25 October 2023

New notarial data confirms a marked decrease in sales in the real estate market. According to the semi-annual Observatory of the National Council of Notaries, in the period from January to June, property transactions fell by 8.7%, while mortgages experienced a decline of 29.3% compared to the same period in the previous year. Although there are methodological differences with the data released by the Revenue Agency, the overall trend of market reduction is undeniable.

The Notarial Observatory points out that the decrease in purchases primarily concerns first homes. This aligns with the fact that non-facilitated properties, often destined for non-residential uses, tend to be paid for in cash, especially in a context of rising mortgage rates. Currently, many Italian families have liquidity, as evidenced by deposits in current accounts amounting to 1,764 billion euros in the previous September. However, economic uncertainty and the expectation of potential price declines may be among the reasons holding back purchases.

Analyzing the data in detail, it emerges that the decrease in transactions was progressive over the semester: -2.7% in the first two months, -4.8% in the first quarter, and -1% in the second quarter of 2023. Transactions of first homes between private parties experienced a reduction of 11%, while those from companies registered a decline of 34.2%. Regarding mortgages, the 29.5% decrease resulted from declines in both the first and second quarters of 2023. In terms of disbursed capital, it went from 38.5 to 26.9 billion euros. 38.6% of mortgages were granted to buyers in the 18-35 age group, benefiting from incentives for young buyers. Future prospects indicate a further decline, with forecasts of -10.5% for transactions and -23.8% for mortgages throughout 2023.

However, these projections may turn out to be optimistic, considering unexpected developments like the further increase in interest rates decided by the ECB. Finally, interest rates on loans for home purchases, including ancillary costs, increased in August, rising from 4.58% in July to 4.67%. Overall, the Italian real estate market is undergoing a phase of significant contraction, influenced by various economic and financial factors.

La Lombardia è la regione con più transazioni in Italia

Patrizia Reggiani, New Owner for the “Gothic” Villa. Sold for 9.5 Million Euros (Source: Il Giorno)

By Columbus International,23 October 2023

At the intersection of Via Andreani and Via della Guastalla, facing the homonymous gardens, stands the renowned “Gothic” villa, known for having belonged to Patrizia Reggiani, ex-wife and mastermind behind the murder of designer Maurizio Gucci. According to Il Giorno, the property at number 5 Via Andreani has been sold for nine and a half million euros to a couple, with him being British and her Austrian, residing in the Comasco region.

The internal renovation of the house, featuring a basement, ground floor, and two elevated floors, has been entrusted to a construction company based in Parre, in the province of Bergamo. The villa witnessed the return of Reggiani, now seventy-four, on September 16, 2013, after the supervisory court decided to suspend her 26-year sentence. She had been convicted as the instigator of her ex-husband’s murder, who was shot three times by a hitman on Via Palestro on March 27, 1995. After her release from San Vittore prison, Reggiani took care of her mother Silvana Barbieri, along with the housekeeper and the Ceylonese servant who were guests in the villa. It was actually Reggiani’s mother who acquired the shares of the company that owned the property in Guastalla back in 2004.

According to Il Giorno, Reggiani currently resides in an apartment near San Babila, not far from the penthouse where she had lived with Gucci for a period of time. The house near the Duomo that once hosted them was sold in 2022 for twenty million euros to entrepreneur Risha Suah, an Indian and the owner of Jekson Vision, a company specializing in pharmaceutical packaging with various locations worldwide, including India, USA, Russia, Malta, Germany, and the United Kingdom.

Exploring the $9.4 Million New York Residence in Proximity to Carrie Bradshaw’s Iconic Fictional Apartment

By Columbus International,18 October 2023

New York’s West Village is famed for its assortment of iconic fictional properties, such as the Friends’ apartment and Carrie Bradshaw‘s residence from Sex and the City. Presently, you have the opportunity to possess a residence in close proximity to some of the city’s most renowned TV dwellings with this $9.4 million abode at 70 Perry Street—a mere stone’s throw from Bradshaw’s TV abode. This spectacular property was once the abode, individually, of three celebrities and prominent figures: renowned chef and restaurateur Jeffrey Zakarian, comedian Louis C.K., and the esteemed Associated Press reporter and editor Charlie Grumich.

All, at one juncture, were occupants within the edifice. It also served as the backdrop for The Back-Up Plan featuring Jennifer Lopez and The Brothers McMullen starring Edward Burns. This townhouse, measuring 20 feet in width, is a multi-family building encompassing four units and was constructed in 1867 by Walter Jones, who fashioned the structure in the French Second Empire style. This style is distinguished by ornamental elements, such as the mansard roofs adorning this edifice, along with iron frameworks and glass skylights. The four units are interlinked by means of a centralized staircase, and the owner’s unit, comprised of seven rooms, occupies the initial two floors of the building. The owner’s unit incorporates one bedroom, two bathrooms, a parlor adorned with ornate ceilings and a library, a living room, a formal dining room, a spacious kitchen, and a garden. The kitchen, designed in a country-style, offers an expanse with one of four fireplaces and opens up to the landscaped garden—a verdant oasis in the heart of the city. There’s a paver patio, a stone brick wall, latticework, and ample space for outdoor furnishings. The parlor room showcases exquisite molding, with ornamental 12-foot ceilings and pocket doors that lead to the library, affording views over the charming, tree-lined Perry Street.

The owner’s unit additionally features an office/study, a laundry area, and an expansive pantry. The entire building uniquely accommodates three distinct one-bedroom apartments, each equipped with kitchens, a living area, a dining space, in-unit laundry facilities, and an office. Alternatively, the building can be transformed into a unified family residence, rendering it a multi-bedroom private townhome. There are a total of four fireplaces, and each room exudes the quintessential charm of pre-war New York City.

This townhouse, designated as a landmark within the Historic District, has been affectionately preserved and boasts lofty ceilings, broad-plank floors, and expansive windows that flood sections of the residence with natural illumination. This marks the first instance in 45 years that the townhouse has been placed on the market. It is positioned in one of the most sought-after neighborhoods in New York, with picturesque, leafy avenues: West Village is renowned for its enchanting streets, upscale dining establishments, luxury boutiques, and quaint cafes. Bradshaw’s fictitious apartment is situated at 66 Perry Street, merely a stone’s throw away, and the exterior was utilized for filming scenes outside the residence—even though Bradshaw purportedly resided on the Upper East Side in the series. West Village is distinguished for its opulent real estate offerings, celebrity inhabitants, and artistic legacy.

Source: Forbes

U.S. Housing Market Defies Odds: Rising Home Prices Persist Amid Economic Uncertainties

By Columbus International,17 October 2023

In recent months, the U.S. economy has stood at a crossroads, teetering between the specter of recession and the persistent challenge of soaring inflation. Amidst these financial uncertainties, a surprising resilience characterizes the housing market, where demand remains robust, and home prices continue to ascend.

Resilience in Housing Market Despite Economic Divides
Efforts by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation have led to significantly higher borrowing costs, marked by a 22-year high in mortgage rates. Despite these elevated rates, the housing market has defied projections of a decline. Goldman Sachs, in a notable revision, now forecasts a 1.8 percent increase in average home closing prices by year-end, a significant shift from their prior estimate of a 2.2 percent decline. This resilience can be attributed to the relentless demand for housing and a limited supply in the market. Strong demand, driven by a variety of factors including demographic trends and a growing population, coupled with constrained housing inventory, has fueled consistent price hikes. The situation is reflected in the recent revision of Goldman Sachs’ home-price forecast, indicating that the market remains on an upward trajectory despite the prevailing economic uncertainties.

Commercial Real Estate Faces Challenges
In contrast to the housing market’s buoyancy, the commercial real estate sector grapples with multiple challenges. The lingering effects of the pandemic, such as rising office vacancies, combined with the Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation through interest rate hikes, are impacting this sector. Higher interest rates are particularly concerning, leading to anticipated commercial mortgage renegotiations in the next few years. Regional banks are notably vulnerable in this scenario, exposing potential risks in the commercial real estate sector. The divergent fates of the housing and commercial real estate markets underscore the specific dynamics at play in each sector. The housing market’s resilience is attributed to its strong fundamentals and the essential need for shelter, while the commercial real estate market faces complexities due to evolving work trends and economic policies.

Yield Surge Raises Economic Eyebrows
The surge in the 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield to a 15-year high at 4.258% raises concerns about the potential economic impact. Higher yields could lead to increased borrowing costs, affecting various markets, including stocks, bonds, and housing. Of particular concern is the potential impact on mortgage rates, which could pose challenges for both prospective homebuyers and those seeking to refinance. The housing market, though displaying remarkable resilience, is not entirely immune to these economic shifts. An increase in mortgage rates could alter the affordability dynamics, potentially slowing down the rapid pace of home price increases. Investors and industry stakeholders closely watch for cues on how these yields might stabilize and their subsequent influence on the housing market.

Federal Reserve Balancing Act
The Federal Reserve’s cautious approach, as reflected in the minutes of their July 2023 meeting, showcases the delicate balance they strive to maintain. Controlling inflation remains a priority, and this is evident in the interest rate hikes implemented to slow the economy and curb rising prices. However, the Fed grapples with the need to carefully weigh these actions against their potential negative impacts on the economy, such as slowing hiring and increased business loan costs. The central bank’s actions are being closely scrutinized by various sectors, including the housing market. Their decisions significantly impact borrowing costs and, subsequently, housing affordability. Striking the right balance is crucial for the Fed to navigate the complex economic landscape and support the stability of both the housing market and the broader economy.

Housing Market Defies Mortgage Rate Surge
The surprising resilience of the U.S. housing market in the face of soaring mortgage rates stands as a testament to its robustness. Despite rates doubling over the past year and a half, major homebuilders’ shares have rallied, surpassing broader stock indices. The constrained housing supply, coupled with higher mortgage rates, has essentially trapped existing homeowners in their properties, diminishing available housing stock and compelling potential buyers to explore new properties. This resilience is underpinned by the fundamental need for housing. Regardless of mortgage rate increases, the demand for homes remains high, particularly due to demographic trends and societal shifts. The housing market has adapted to the new normal of higher rates, showcasing its strength and stability amidst evolving economic conditions.

A Glimpse into the Future
While concerns about the U.S. housing market persist due to the rapid rise in mortgage rates and a sharp slowdown in home sales, economists and analysts foresee a moderate market correction, rather than a crash on the scale experienced during the Great Recession. Factors such as low inventories, cautious building practices, demographic trends, strict lending standards, and low foreclosure activity contribute to the market’s resilience. These indicators, combined with the enduring demand for housing, hint at a market that is likely to continue its upward trajectory in a more measured manner. The housing sector is expected to adapt and find equilibrium even in the face of economic uncertainties, reinforcing its position as a cornerstone of the American economy. The U.S. housing market remains a pillar of strength amid economic uncertainties, continuing to surprise pundits and analysts with its unwavering growth. As the economic landscape evolves, only time will reveal whether this resilience is a temporary phenomenon or a lasting testament to the fundamental stability of the housing sector in the United States.

New York Real Estate Market: Co-ops Struggle, New Developments Forced, Brooklyn Triumphs

By Columbus International,11 October 202311 October 2023

The decline in New York home sales has left virtually no one in the real estate industry unscathed, with particular areas of the city’s market experiencing the most acute pain. Despite the seasonal increase in property listings this fall, the market won’t escape the grip of the low-supply environment that has kept prices high, even as mortgage rates have surged, further dissuading potential buyers. For instance, on Staten Island, new property listings in August saw a 17 percent drop, and inventory plummeted by 37 percent compared to the previous year. Simultaneously, the median price rose by 3 percent, and the days a property spent on the market increased by a staggering 50 percent, as reported by the Staten Island Board of Realtors. “These are challenging times for the real estate market,” stated Sandy Krueger, CEO of the organization. “But challenges also create opportunities for those who remain attentive to the market’s signals.”

Here are three key signals to watch as the fall selling season gets underway:

Co-ops: The Losers
Co-op properties were already facing difficulties before the increase in mortgage rates impacted sales. Cheaper co-ops have been particularly affected by the rising rates. Buyers in recent years had become increasingly discouraged by the antiquated rules and bureaucracy of co-op boards. Now, with higher mortgage rates, homebuyers on the lower end of the income spectrum find themselves priced out due to co-ops’ stringent debt-to-income and post-close liquidity requirements. Just a year earlier, a couple earning $240,000 annually could borrow $600,000 for a co-op valued at $750,000 and successfully pass a board application. However, in today’s market, this is no longer possible. This situation is striking, considering that $240,000 is roughly three times the area’s median income in New York City, and $750,000 often represents the starting point for homes in many neighborhoods. Monthly charges are also rising in many co-op buildings due to Local Law 97, which caps greenhouse gas emissions in larger buildings, and Local Law 11, which mandates facade inspections and repairs for buildings taller than six stories every five years. This, in addition to rising rents, makes it increasingly challenging for lower-end and first-time buyers to enter the market.

New Development: The Losers
Developers who had been waiting for a more favorable economic climate before launching their projects may now be compelled by their loan terms to list properties this fall. Projects with units lingering on the market may be forced to offer price reductions. Developers have pre-payment milestones with their lenders and can no longer delay their projects. While some units were overpriced for the current rate environment, others missed the post-lockdown market boom due to supply and labor shortages. For instance, the last available penthouse at One Clinton Street in Brooklyn Heights recently sold for $8 million, down from the original asking price of $10.2 million. An opportunistic buyer’s broker can search for older properties that may have been overlooked, presenting an excellent investment opportunity in the city.

Brooklyn: The Winner
Brooklyn’s real estate market has remained strong throughout the year, a trend that is expected to continue into the fall. Brooklyn has been outperforming Manhattan in terms of market expediency, primarily due to the demand for more space and outdoor living. Brooklyn has been growing into a primary market for years, a trend that accelerated during the lockdown period of the pandemic. Buyers sought to avoid high-rise elevators, subways, and crowded streets. Although transit use has mostly recovered, the shift towards Brooklyn shows no signs of slowing down. “The trend for Brooklyn has been on fire,” remarked UrbanDigs founder John Walkup.

Source: TRD

Trump Looks for Information Regarding the Future of His Family’s New York Real Estate Holdings (Wall Street Journal)

By Columbus International,11 October 2023

According to The Wall Street Journal, Donald Trump’s legal team has sought clarity from New York State Supreme Court Justice Arthur Engoron regarding a ruling that could potentially strip the former president of control over part of his real estate empire.

Justice Engoron recently ruled in a civil case brought by New York State Attorney General Letitia James, stating that Trump and his company had committed fraud by falsely valuing his properties. This ruling could significantly impact the Trump family’s business entities, potentially affecting hundreds of entities, including real estate assets like Trump Tower. The judge has ordered the cancellation of legal certificates that permitted these entities to conduct business in New York and instructed both parties to identify a receiver to oversee their dissolution.

This decision could also affect trial proceedings set to begin on Monday, where further allegations of fraud will be addressed. Trump’s lawyers have sought clarification on the ruling’s impact, including whether affected properties will be sold or managed by the receiver. James’ lawsuit alleges that Trump inflated his net worth by falsely valuing his properties, potentially impacting his ability to obtain favorable bank loans. In addition to canceling business certificates, James has sought $250 million in penalties. Trump has accused James of pursuing him for political reasons, arguing that asset valuations are subjective and that no one suffered financial harm.

Canceling business certificates is a drastic remedy, typically reserved for cases involving illegal enterprises or fraudulent schemes. The ruling effectively bars Trump from transacting business in New York, potentially affecting his financial interests within the state, though the fate of his out-of-state assets connected to New York-based corporate entities remains unclear. Despite its potential financial impact, Trump’s business focus has shifted away from New York over the last two decades, emphasizing deals in other states and countries.

Many New York buildings bearing the Trump name have been renamed due to his policies and persona’s unpopularity among New York voters. The Trump Organization’s last significant deal in New York City was a hotel and condominium development in Soho, which underwent a name change in 2017 amid controversy.