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Riding the Real Estate Rollercoaster: New York City Market Trends Unveiled

By Columbus International,11 March 2024

Here are the latest developments in the New York City real estate market.

In the current landscape of the New York City housing market, the equilibrium between buyers and sellers holds significant importance. With a consistent decrease in housing inventory and a rise in median prices, the market tends to favor sellers. The limited availability of homes places sellers in advantageous positions, potentially leading to more favorable deals. However, this doesn’t necessarily translate to a gloomy outlook for buyers. The increased demand and fluctuating market dynamics offer opportunities for those looking to make strategic investments in real estate. The surge in home prices in New York reflects the impact of dwindling housing inventory and heightened demand. Consequently, the prevailing trend indicates that home prices aren’t declining but rather experiencing growth, signaling a robust market with the potential for lucrative returns for sellers.

The year 2024 began much like its predecessor, with low housing inventory and fluctuating interest rates around 6.5 percent, as reported by the New York State Association of REALTORS. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage saw a slight decrease from 6.82 percent in December 2023 to 6.64 percent in January 2024. However, compared to the same period last year, the interest rate has shown an increase from 6.27 percent, highlighting the dynamic nature of the real estate market. One notable shift in the market is the continued decline in housing inventory, persisting for 11 consecutive months in year-over-year comparisons. Across New York, the inventory of homes for sale decreased by 10.2 percent, dropping from 39,544 homes in 2023 to 35,492 units in 2024. This limited supply presents challenges for buyers but also creates an environment where sellers may find opportunities to capitalize on the scarcity of available homes. New listings experienced a modest decline of 1.5 percent, totaling 9,279 in January 2024 compared to 9,423 in the same month of the previous year. Closed sales witnessed a more significant decrease, dropping by 3.8 percent from 7,486 to 7,203 homes in January 2024. Conversely, pending sales increased by 8.9 percent, indicating a potential rebound and heightened activity in the coming months. January saw a 6.7% increase in the number of homes entering into contracts, marking a positive turn as buyers returned amidst declining mortgage rates. This surge, slightly higher than the average over the past five years, is attributed to the drop in mortgage rates during November and December, enticing buyers back into the market post-year-end holidays. However, despite this uptick, challenges remain. Highly-priced homes are staying on the market for longer periods, keeping the city’s median asking price elevated.

Elevated asking prices, coupled with rising mortgage rates, are prompting sellers to make concessions to attract buyers, illustrating a nuanced market scenario. As of January, the median asking price in NYC stood at $1.095 million, reflecting an 11.7% increase from a year ago. This uptick is largely due to a slowdown in the luxury market, where homes priced at $4.975 million and above are taking longer to sell. The median asking price in Manhattan rose by 8.4% year-over-year to $1.68 million, indicating a resilient market experiencing notable shifts. While luxury listings in Manhattan witnessed an increase in median asking prices, the typical luxury listing received only 93.2% of its initial asking price, indicating a shift in power from sellers to buyers at the highest end of the market. In Brooklyn, where inventory is limited, the median asking price surged by 16.8% to $1.05 million. Meanwhile, Queens offers a more affordable option, with a 4.2% year-over-year increase, resulting in a median asking price of $624,900. The NYC housing market grapples with the aftermath of elevated mortgage rates and median asking prices, limiting the pool of potential buyers. While the monthly mortgage payment on a median-priced home rose by 16.1% year-over-year to $5,619 in January, the median asking rent increased by just 0.1% to $3,500. With a considerable number of potential buyers still on the sidelines, those who can afford to stay in the market now have more room for negotiation. The median asking price for homes entering into contracts in January was $925,000, 15.5% lower than the overall median asking price of homes on the market. This disparity indicates a market where more affordable homes are gaining traction among buyers, while the luxury segment experiences a slowdown. Despite the recent decline in mortgage rates, the outlook for the New York City housing market remains complex. Seller concessions, aimed at attracting buyers, have become more prevalent. In September 2023, when mortgage rates were above 7%, 2.7% of for-sale listings mentioned seller concessions. Despite a subsequent decline in average mortgage rates to 6.7%, concessions in January held steady at 2.3%, showcasing a significant increase from the 1.4% average in 2021.

Regarding negotiations, buyers are finding more areas to maneuver. NYC sellers are increasingly willing to offer concessions explicitly in their listings, helping to reduce closing costs for buyers without reducing the asking price. One notable concession gaining popularity is the rate buydown, with 1.7% of sponsor condos offering this option in January, a significant increase from the 0.1% average in 2021.

Record number of cash offers show New York property is only for the rich

By Columbus International,7 March 2024

The latest data reveals a striking trend in Manhattan’s real estate landscape: a surge in cash purchases accounting for over two-thirds of home sales last quarter, marking a record high. The driving force behind this shift is the soaring mortgage rates, which have soared to around 6 per cent, dissuading all but the wealthiest buyers from taking on loans.

Pamela Liebman, CEO of Corcoran, a prominent real estate brokerage, highlighted this phenomenon, stating that nearly 70 per cent of Manhattan properties were acquired without mortgages in the final quarter of 2023, a significant leap from the 55 per cent seen in the same period in 2022. High mortgage rates are creating a significant barrier for potential buyers without substantial financial resources, leading many to opt for renting instead. Corcoran’s report further underscores this trend, indicating a 4 per cent increase in new leases in Manhattan and Brooklyn in January 2024 compared to the previous year, alongside a record median rent of $3,950.

The reluctance to incur mortgage debt has led to a “void in the middle” of the property market, with affluent buyers dominating while those unable to pay cash face challenges amid escalating rents. The median sales price for Manhattan apartments reached $1.15 million in the fourth quarter, up 5 per cent from a year earlier, approaching the record high of $1.25 million set in the second quarter of 2022. However, the pace of buying has slowed, with prime properties lingering on the market for extended periods, contrasting with more affordable markets like Charlotte, North Carolina, where homes sell rapidly.

Despite a slight uptick in transactions in January, Thomas Ryan, a property economist at Capital Economics, notes that the US housing market remains stagnant, with transactions significantly below the 2010s average. Erin Sykes, a real estate agent and economist, attributes the surge in cash purchases to buyers seizing opportunities amid rising mortgage rates, viewing them as an advantageous time to strike deals. The challenges facing buyers in New York are further compounded by a severe housing shortage attributed to regulations limiting rent increases and the expiration of tax incentives for new construction projects. Mayor Eric Adams has proposed converting obsolete office buildings into residential towers as a potential solution, although this presents technical and cost-related hurdles.

The supply crunch has significantly reduced vacancy rates, plummeting from nearly 4.5 per cent in 2021 to 1.4 per cent, exacerbating affordability concerns and pricing many out of the market. As Liebman aptly summarizes, New York’s housing market is currently facing rough terrain, posing significant challenges for aspiring buyers.

$49 Million Manhattan Penthouse Contracted: One High Line Makes Waves with Major Real Estate Overhaul

By Columbus International,13 February 2024

In one of the premier real estate transactions of the year in New York City, a lavish penthouse in Manhattan with an initial asking price of $49 million has entered into a contract. Spanning approximately 7,375 square feet, this opulent penthouse, featuring five bedrooms, stands out as the largest residence within the newly constructed condominium, One High Line, situated in the vibrant Chelsea neighborhood.

Alex Witkoff, co-chief executive of the Witkoff Group, involved in the development alongside Len Blavatnik’s Access Industries, revealed this information while refraining from disclosing the final sale price. Offering panoramic views encompassing 360 degrees, the penthouse boasts approximately 4,830 square feet of outdoor space, as disclosed by Alex Witkoff. Formerly recognized as the XI, this condominium project, comprising 235 units, spans an entire city block above the renowned High Line park. Although sales commenced in 2018 under the auspices of the original developer, HFZ Capital Group, financial difficulties led to project delays. Stepping in over a year ago, Witkoff and Access Industries took over, rebranding the development as One High Line. Since August, the building has witnessed the closure of 80 units, according to a project spokesperson.

In addition to the aforementioned penthouse, another unit, with an asking price of $52 million, entered into a contract back in June but remains pending closure due to its incomplete status, as noted by the spokesperson. The developers attribute the robust sales at One High Line to the heightened demand for expansive residences and the scarcity of family-oriented apartments in downtown Manhattan. In 2023 alone, deals totaling $600 million were struck at the building, with approximately 35 transactions exceeding $5 million. Alex Witkoff expressed optimism for surpassing the previous year’s sales, highlighting that many deals were secured early in the year before macroeconomic concerns arose.

Designed by the acclaimed Bjarke Ingels Group, One High Line comprises two striking towers and boasts around 20,000 square feet of amenity space, including a 75-foot lap pool, whirlpool, fitness center, co-working area, children’s playroom, billiards room, and dining facilities. Additionally, one of the project’s towers is set to house a 120-key Faena Hotel, scheduled for opening in early 2025. Despite an overall deceleration in the luxury real estate market in the previous year, downtown Manhattan witnessed several notable high-value condo transactions. Noteworthy among these were the off-market sale of a penthouse at 150 Charles Street for $52 million and the sale of another penthouse at 151 Wooster Street for $50 million. According to real estate appraisal firm Miller Samuel, while the number of luxury sales in Manhattan experienced a 5.9% decline in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, the average sale price for luxury properties surged by 7.3% year-over-year.

Source: WSJ

Photo: One High Line Residences

Luxury Brands Spark Renaissance on New York’s Fifth Avenue

By Columbus International,7 February 2024

In the summer of 2020, a headline boldly proclaimed, “New York City is dead forever,” echoing the grim reality of a pandemic-stricken world. However, Jerry Seinfeld’s dismissive response of “Oh, shut up,” has proven prescient more than three years later. Nowhere is this more evident than in a pivotal two-block stretch of Fifth Avenue in New York City. This iconic Manhattan shopping corridor has become a battleground for the world’s leading luxury brands, each vying for prime real estate. Recent months have seen a flurry of activity, with entities affiliated with Gucci, Prada, and Louis Vuitton parent companies shelling out nearly $2 billion combined to secure coveted spots from 58th to 56th street. Additionally, Louis Vuitton’s parent company is eyeing 745 Fifth Avenue, further emphasizing the area’s allure, nestled near the Plaza Hotel and Central Park. While commercial property markets elsewhere struggle, these blockbuster deals shine as beacons of hope. Despite challenges like soaring borrowing costs and economic uncertainty, luxury brands are betting big on New York City’s enduring appeal. Their resurgence signals a rapid recovery, particularly in Manhattan’s upscale retail sector, with billionaire-backed conglomerates seizing the moment to solidify their presence both locally and globally. Michael Marks of Cushman & Wakefield notes the significance of these tenants’ long-term commitment to iconic New York locales, emphasizing their strategic move to control their destiny amidst market fluctuations.

Madelyn Wils, chief adviser for the Fifth Avenue Association, underscores the pivotal role of these investments in revitalizing tourism and cementing New York’s status as a premier luxury destination. Behind these landmark transactions stand titans of industry such as Bernard Arnault, Miuccia Prada Bianchi, and François Pinault, whose vast fortunes empower them to leave an indelible mark on Fifth Avenue. The rapid pace of these acquisitions, completed within weeks, underscores the urgency and confidence driving these deals. While challenges persist, including ongoing disputes and financial complexities, these transactions herald a new chapter for high-street retail in New York City. Marc Holliday of SL Green Realty Corp. heralds this resurgence as “very, very exciting for the city,” signaling a promising future for Fifth Avenue and beyond. With traditional real estate investors sidelined by market volatility, luxury conglomerates wield significant influence, leveraging their deep pockets and global vision to reshape urban landscapes. For brands like LVMH and Kering, owning prime real estate is integral to their global strategy, mirroring their successful endeavors in other cosmopolitan hubs like Paris and Tokyo. Indeed, as LVMH’s Chief Financial Officer Jean-Jacques Guiony affirms, being a landlord affords these luxury giants a unique opportunity to reimagine and elevate the retail experience, a sentiment echoed by their ambitious projects around the world. As they continue to invest in iconic addresses like Fifth Avenue, luxury brands are not just shaping skylines but also transforming the very essence of luxury retailing.

Source: Bloomberg

Battle Royale on Fifth Avenue: LVMH Eyes Prime Real Estate Amidst Luxury Retail Frenzy

By Columbus International,30 January 2024

In the intense competition for coveted space on the world’s most expensive retail boulevard, international luxury fashion giants are set to clash. LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, the powerhouse behind iconic brands like Louis Vuitton, Christian Dior, and Tiffany & Co., is reportedly in talks to acquire 745 Fifth Ave., a 35-story tower gracing the renowned shopping avenue, according to sources cited by Bloomberg. The lower three floors of this Fifth Avenue gem currently house a Bergdorf Goodman men’s store, and LVMH is engaged in a fierce bidding war with other contenders vying for ownership, as reported by Bloomberg. Neither Bergdorf’s parent company, Neiman Marcus, nor Paramount Group, the owner of 745 Fifth Ave., responded immediately to Bisnow’s request for comments.

The building also accommodates tenants such as private equity firm Eurazeo and law firm Haug Partners, according to the building’s official website. LVMH, known for its aggressive acquisition strategy, declared a spree for retail properties last year, investing nearly $2.7 billion globally. This included securing prime locations on Paris’ Champs-Elysées corridor and a central London site, as reported by Bloomberg. LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault emphasized the company’s pursuit of AAA locations, stating during an earnings call, “We try to secure and buy the best possible locations for our companies. If you take Fifth Avenue in New York, we have three of the best corners there are.”

This rumored acquisition comes on the heels of a major move by Gucci’s parent company, Kering, which recently spent a staggering $963 million on a 115,000 square feet retail condo at 715-717 Fifth Ave. In the previous month, Italian luxury fashion house Prada made a substantial investment of approximately $820 million, acquiring adjacent buildings across the street. Both of these deals were orchestrated by real estate mogul Jeff Sutton’s Wharton Properties. The battle for supremacy on Fifth Avenue’s luxury retail landscape shows no signs of cooling down.

Source: Bisnow

From Bulgari to Porsche: Branded Residences Are Flooding the Prime Market – and Selling

By Columbus International,30 January 202430 January 2024

In 1927, the Sherry-Netherland apartment hotel marked a milestone as the world’s first “branded” residence on New York’s Fifth Avenue. Leveraging the reputation of the popular Sherry’s restaurant, the property, with its Gothic minaret and elegant apartments, made waves in the realm of luxury real estate. Fast forward almost a century… and here, the category of “branded” residences has experienced a significant increase, growing by about 150% in the last decade. Today, the landscape boasts over 700 branded residential developments, totaling over 100,000 homes in various stages of completion or planning globally, according to WATG Strategy. And a doubling of the sector’s size is expected by 2027, fueled by increasing interest in established markets like New York, Miami, London, Dubai, as well as in emerging markets like Oman, Poland, and Guyana.

What distinguishes recent years, besides the exponential growth of the sector, is the variety of brands eager to participate, particularly in the luxury segment. In addition to traditional hotel companies, fashion and jewelry houses like Armani, Roberto Cavalli, Fendi, and Bulgari, along with car manufacturers like Porsche, Bentley, and Aston Martin, have entered the arena. Chris Graham, founder of Graham Associates, defines a home with these designer labels as a “trophy purchase.” For both consumer companies and real estate developers, such collaborations prove advantageous for both parties. Recognizable brand names can command premiums on high-end developments, even in the most competitive markets. Edgardo Defortuna, president and founder of Fortune International Group in Miami, emphasizes the tangible impact of these brands, not only in terms of premiums but also in accelerating the sales processes. Historically, hotel companies have dominated the development of branded properties, constituting approximately 84% of the sector.

The expertise of hoteliers in the development and management of properties aligns well with the concept of residences as long-term versions of short-stay hotel rooms. Hospitality brands continue to be attracted to real estate, with Peninsula, Aman, and Rosewood making significant strides. Peninsula Residences London, with a reported sale of a penthouse for around $123 million to hedge fund magnate Ken Griffin, showcases the allure of these developments. Aman reported sales of branded residences totaling $2.4 billion in 2022, and Rosewood Residences has expanded its pipeline by over 200% in the last two years. Contributions are also expected from Mandarin Oriental, Six Senses, Equinox, and Faena. However, the shift to branded residences without adjacent hotels is not without challenges, as providing exclusive services and amenities solely for residents can result in higher maintenance costs. The market becomes more intricate for non-hospitality brands venturing into residential development. Companies like Jacob the Jeweler, Nobu, and Casa Tua, originally renowned for their expertise in jewelry, sushi, and Italian cuisine, are becoming lifestyle brands with real estate projects. Miami, a hub for international buyers and a city ranked among the top for branded developments, is experiencing an eclectic boom. Luxury automobile brands like Bentley Residences, Aston Martin Residences, and Porsche Design Tower are making significant strides, offering unique amenities like the futuristic “Dezervator” elevator in the Porsche tower.

Porsche and Aston Martin are targeting their enthusiasts, offering exclusive deals like a limited-edition Aston Martin Vulcan race car with a $59 million penthouse in Miami. As these brands enter the residential development space, they emphasize maintaining the aesthetic and craftsmanship associated with their luxury vehicles. Bentley’s first residential project, scheduled to open in 2026, aligns with the brand’s commitment to sustainable luxury. By 2030, Bentley aims to sell 100% electric cars, targeting a more progressive audience interested in sustainability. In New York, the third-largest market for branded residences globally, Aman exemplifies the trend with ultra-luxury residences, a five-star hotel, and a private club within a beautifully restored Art Deco building. This integrated approach, offering top-end buyers every imaginable indulgence under one roof, indicates a growing desire for security and confidence in markets where wealth is still relatively new.

Source: Robb Report
Photo: Bentley Residences

Anagram Columbus Circle Luxury Rentals: 50% Occupied, Monthly Rents Soar to $26,000

By Columbus International,29 January 2024

A new 26-story luxury rental development in Manhattan, Anagram Columbus Circle, has reached the halfway mark in terms of occupancy just six months after opening for leasing. Situated at 1 W. 60th St., at the intersection of West 60th Street and Broadway, and in close proximity to Central Park, the upscale property boasts monthly rents reaching as high as $26,000. Global Holdings, the developer responsible for other prestigious residential projects in New York such as 15 Central Park West, has reported that Anagram Columbus Circle has drawn residents not only from various parts of the United States but also from overseas.

Leasing commenced in July, with a Global Holdings spokesperson stating to CoStar News that move-ins are currently underway, and all amenities are expected to be fully completed by spring. The rental units at Anagram Columbus Circle range from $4,660 for a studio to $26,750 for a four-bedroom unit, according to the spokesperson. Eyal Ofer, Chairman of Global Holdings, emphasized the sustained demand for premium rentals, citing the success of their previous projects like 15 Central Park West, Greenwich Lane, and 520 Park. The developer’s extensive portfolio spans over 10 million square feet of real estate, encompassing more than 120 properties and over 1,500 hotel rooms.

Anagram Columbus Circle features 123 residences, including three penthouses situated at the top of the building. Designed by INC Architecture & Design, the property is said to offer condo-level design and boasts 13,000 square feet of amenity space. The leasing success of Anagram Columbus Circle coincides with a CoStar analysis indicating a 2.9% vacancy rate in Manhattan’s Upper West Side, where the property is located. This vacancy rate remains near historic lows, making it one of the lowest among U.S. neighborhoods with at least 20,000 units. With asking rents of $4,950 per unit, the Upper West Side market is noted for its high prices within the New York metropolitan area. The low vacancy rate has provided landlords with the opportunity to push rents higher, according to the report.

Photo via Anagram

The Transformation Revolution: Old Offices Turn into New Homes

By Columbus International,24 January 2024

Already in the first weeks of 2024, promoters are undertaking an unprecedented mission to redesign old office buildings into actual residential units, setting a record for the highest number of transformed housing units. This growth is a direct response to the remote and hybrid work revolution that began in 2020, leading to high vacancy rates for commercial spaces in many American cities.

Among the proposals is the idea of alleviating the high costs of housing marked by persistent inflation by creating more supply. Providing an overview is the study conducted by RentCafe, which discovered that 55,300 housing units are undergoing conversion from office buildings, marking a quadruple increase compared to 2021. While the year-on-year growth of 22% is more modest than in previous years, the demand for residential space remains a driving force behind this transformative movement.

Despite challenges such as higher financial costs and extended timelines associated with zoning and permits, industry experts like Doug Ressler, the head of business intelligence at Yardi Matrix (RentCafe’s sister company), assert that this trend is destined to endure. Local governments are incentivizing the conversion of more office buildings as they “remain vacant due to hybrid work and preferences for newer and more efficient office spaces” after the pandemic. In particular, these government initiatives aim to breathe new life into these spaces. In Washington, DC, plans are underway to convert office spaces into 5,820 housing units – a significant increase from the previous year.

Following closely is the New York metropolitan area, with 5,215 new apartments planned from former office spaces. Notably, New York’s growth is fueled by the transformation of 25 Water St. in Manhattan, formerly an outpost of JPMorgan & Chase Co., into 1,263 apartments – the largest project of its kind in the country. Dallas takes the third spot, with 3,163 housing units created from offices, representing 83% of all conversion types, the highest share among major cities.

Unveiling the Pinnacle: Time Out’s Picks for the Finest Global Cities in 2024

By Columbus International,24 January 2024

In the realm of entertainment, where cities often take on the role of the main character in beloved TV shows and movies, and serve as the muse for countless songs and artworks, New York City stands out as an iconic destination. Time Out, a prominent media company, has recognized this by naming New York City as the best city for 2024. Drawing insights from the perspectives of around 20,000 city-dwellers globally, as well as input from its network of writers and editors, Time Out curated a list of the world’s best cities.

Criteria such as the culinary scene, architectural marvels, and cultural vibrancy played a crucial role in the evaluation. Time Out aims not only to inspire travel but also to offer a global snapshot of city living. New York City secured the top spot, with its plethora of museums and a thriving theater scene being highlighted as contributing factors. The city’s international reputation also played a significant role, as it was deemed the most desirable location for relocation by city-dwellers worldwide. Claiming the second position on Time Out’s list is Cape Town, South Africa, a city described unanimously by survey respondents as “beautiful.” Its enchanting blend of sea, cityscape, and majestic mountains contributes to its allure. Time Out commended Cape Town for its rich cultural offerings, including late-night museum events, theater, comedy shows at Theatre on the Bay, and the newly opened Time Out Market Cape Town. Despite the accolades, Katy Scott, a Cape Town native now residing in France, emphasizes the city’s contrasts. While praising its unpretentious coastal charm, Scott acknowledges that many of its attractions may not be accessible to the majority of citizens due to persistent inequality.

To gain a deeper understanding of the city and its people, Scott recommends venturing beyond the tourist bubble and exploring sites like Robben Island and the District Six museum, both endorsed by Time Out for their engagement with South Africa’s apartheid history. Time Out’s top five cities also include Berlin, Germany (celebrated for its vibrant nightlife), London, UK (recognized for legendary pubs and free museums), and Madrid, Spain (applauded for exceptional dining and drinking experiences). Notable smaller cities in the top 10 include Liverpool, UK (ranked 7th), and Porto, Portugal (ranked 10th), the latter being lauded for its romantic ambiance according to survey respondents. Grace Beard, Time Out’s travel editor, highlighted the common thread among all the cities on the list—a strong community spirit and an undeniable vibe.

Resurgence in Big Apple Retail: A Beacon of Hope Amidst Economic Challenges

By Columbus International,23 January 2024

In the face of the pandemic’s challenges, New York City’s retail sector has not only weathered the storm but has emerged stronger than ever. Unlike many other segments of the city’s commercial market, retail has experienced a remarkable resurgence, with owners seizing opportunities to lease prime spaces at reduced rates and shorter terms, triggering a notable revival. Gene Spiegelman of Ripco remarked, “We’ve seen a fairly healthy amount of recovery, with rents down by an impressive 50%.” This decline in rental costs has sparked a feeding frenzy for well-located spaces, particularly benefiting vacant restaurants and luxury fashion fronts. A noteworthy transaction in this revitalized landscape is Dolce & Gabbana securing the unique former Hermès store at 695 Madison Ave. Similarly, Prada made a significant investment, paying $835 million to retail tycoon Jeff Sutton for a building at 724 Fifth Ave., along with the adjacent structure at 720 Fifth Ave., formerly dominated by Abercrombie & Fitch. Jeff Sutton had initially planned a slender new tower in the area next to the Aman Hotel in the Crown Building. However, it remains uncertain whether this development will proceed as originally envisioned.

The positive momentum in the retail sector is further complemented by favorable changes in mortgage rates. Since November, mortgage rates have been on a downward trend, aligning with a decrease in the 10-year Treasury yield—a crucial factor influencing loan pricing. The easing of these rates reflects optimism that inflation has cooled sufficiently for the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts later this year. Currently, the average rate on a 30-year home loan stands at 6.6%, according to Freddie Mac. While this rate is lower than in previous weeks, it remains significantly higher than the 3.56% recorded just two years ago. This disparity has contributed to a limited inventory of previously occupied homes on the market, dissuading homeowners from selling due to the contrast in interest rates. Despite the easing of mortgage rates, existing home sales experienced a 1% decline in December compared to the previous month, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.78 million—the slowest sales pace since August 2010, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales for December fell by 6.2% from the previous year, falling short of economists’ expectations. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, expressed optimism, stating, “The latest month’s sales look to be the bottom before inevitably turning higher in the new year. Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months.” In the midst of economic uncertainties, the resilience and resurgence of the Big Apple’s retail sector stand as a beacon of hope, signaling potential positive shifts in the real estate landscape as the new year unfolds.