Brooklyn

New York’s Sky-High Rents Show Signs of Leveling Off, But Don’t Celebrate Just Yet

By Columbus International,13 August 202413 August 2024

In a city renowned for its stratospheric living costs, a glimmer of hope emerges for New York’s beleaguered renters. Recent data suggests that the Big Apple‘s notoriously high apartment rents may have finally reached their zenith, offering a potential respite in one of the world’s most competitive housing markets.

According to the latest monthly leasing report from Douglas Elliman, compiled by appraisal firm Miller Samuel, Manhattan’s median rental price in July dipped to $4,300, marking a 2.3% decrease from the previous year. This $100 drop, while modest, signals a potential shift in the market’s trajectory. Similar trends were observed in Brooklyn and Northwest Queens, with median rents falling to $3,600 and $3,450 respectively.

Jonathan Miller, president and CEO of Miller Samuel, confirms this turning point: “Rents have peaked,” he stated in an email to CoStar News. This assertion is backed by several key indicators, most notably the declining average size of rented apartments across the three boroughs.

In Manhattan, the average square footage rented in July shrank by 9.5% year-over-year to 945 square feet, marking the 11th consecutive monthly decline. Brooklyn and Northwest Queens experienced similar contractions, with average sizes decreasing by 7.3% and 14.5% respectively. Miller attributes this trend to a post-pandemic normalization of space preferences and tenants’ efforts to reduce costs.

The rental market’s cooling may also be influenced by shifting dynamics in the homebuyers’ market. With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates, potentially lowering mortgage rates, some renters are revisiting the prospect of homeownership. This reversal of the previous trend, where prospective buyers flooded the rental market, could help ease rental demand.

Furthermore, the supply side of the equation is showing signs of expansion. Manhattan’s listing inventory surged by 44% year-over-year to 10,634 units in July, while the vacancy rate inched up to 2.87% from 2.63% a year earlier.

However, industry experts caution against expectations of a dramatic market correction. “It’s still a landlords’ market,” Miller emphasized, noting that one in five renters continue to pay above asking price. In Manhattan, listing discounts remain at near-record lows, often representing premiums above asking prices.

The resilience of New York’s rental market is underpinned by the city’s robust economy. With 54,000 jobs added over the past year and a diverse economic landscape, renter demand remains strong despite the eye-watering costs.

As the New York housing market enters this new phase, both renters and investors will be watching closely. While the days of relentless rent hikes may be waning, the road to truly affordable housing in America’s largest city remains long and winding. For now, New Yorkers can take solace in the fact that, at least for the moment, the upward spiral of rental costs seems to have found its limit.

Source: CoStar News

The Revival of New York City’s Office Market

By Columbus International,5 June 20245 June 2024

New York’s iconic skyline is undergoing a transformation as major companies capitalize on the city’s weakened office market to revamp their workspaces. In the wake of the pandemic’s disruption to traditional office life, savvy firms are seizing opportunities to enhance their brands and create environments that foster collaboration and attract top talent.

The New York Bargain Hunters With office vacancies soaring and prices dropping, 2023 became a prime year for companies to go trophy hunting in New York. Investment sales of office properties plunged 59% citywide to just $3.2 billion as hybrid work took hold. The average value of Manhattan offices fell 22% to $848 per square foot. But this shakeup opened a rare window for prospective buyers.

Wells Fargo snagged over 400,000 square feet at the coveted 20 Hudson Yards development for $408 million. Hyundai acquired a newly redeveloped Tribeca building for $275 million to house its showroom. And NYU purchased prime real estate in Manhattan and Brooklyn totaling nearly $220 million. Even luxury retailers got in on the New York fire sale. Prada claimed a $822 million Fifth Avenue flagship location, while Gucci‘s parent company Kering paid close to $1 billion for another stretch of the iconic shopping corridor. Revamping the Office Experience For companies taking the plunge, the goal is to redesign the office environment itself. Google‘s vibrancy is on full display at its new $2 billion St. John’s Terminal campus. The 1.3 million square foot former rail terminal has been reimagined as an urban oasis with terraces, gardens, and ultra-modern workspaces. “It’s a testament to New York’s… diverse talent pool that keep us rooted here,” said Sean Downey, President of Google’s Americas operations. With 14,000 New York employees, Google is doubling down on flexible, amenity-rich spaces that enhance the in-office experience.

The “office” is being redefined for a hybrid age. No longer simply spaces to work, tomorrow’s corporate headquarters aim to inspire collaboration, rejuvenation and pride. As the pandemic catalyzes evolving workplace models, controlling the physical workspace has become a competitive advantage.

The revamp isn’t limited to offices either. Amid skyrocketing e-commerce demand, companies are reinventing New York’s industrial spaces as well. FedEx alone dropped $248 million acquiring a massive distribution facility in Brooklyn’s Sunset Park neighborhood. Amazon, which had already established a significant logistics footprint in the borough, saw two of its Brooklyn warehouses trade for over $560 million combined in 2023. With its unbeatable access to Manhattan and surrounding areas, Brooklyn is rapidly emerging as an e-commerce distribution hub. From glitzy corporate campuses to gritty warehouses, New York’s urbanscape is being remade by forward-thinking companies. The pandemic’s disruption has created a unique opportunity to transform the very nature of the workplace. And in the ultimate live-work-play city, companies are going all-in.

Main source: Forbes

Manhattan Rents Soar to Dizzying New Heights

By Columbus International,13 May 2024

New York City’s rental market is reaching dizzying new heights, shattering previous records and exacerbating the city’s affordability crisis. According to a report released by Douglas Elliman and Miller Samuel, median rents in Manhattan and Brooklyn soared to unprecedented levels in April 2024, with no signs of abating as the peak leasing season approaches.

The data paints a grim picture for renters struggling to keep up with the relentless rise in housing costs. In Manhattan, the median rent climbed to a staggering $4,250 last month, a 3.7% increase from March and a 0.2% annual hike. This figure represents a staggering 26.7% surge compared to the pre-pandemic average in April 2019. Brooklyn followed a similar trajectory, with the median rent reaching $3,599, a 3% monthly increase and a 26.7% jump from April 2019 levels.

The report’s author, Jonathan Miller, warns that these eye-watering numbers could be just the beginning. “This is the third time in the four months of 2024 that we’ve seen rental prices rise year-over-year,” Miller said. “And this is increasing the odds — because rents don’t peak until the summer — that we could actually see last year’s July/August record broken.” The rental frenzy extends beyond Manhattan and Brooklyn, with northwest Queens also experiencing a sharp spike. The median rent in the area reached $3,244, the second-highest April figure on record, marking a 1.4% increase from March and a 15.1% jump from April 2019. The escalating rents are compounding New York City’s affordability crisis, which has reached alarming proportions. A recent report from the city comptroller revealed a worsening food insecurity crisis, with one in nine households unable to access adequate nutrition.

Moreover, a StreetEasy/Zillow analysis found that New York City has the largest gap between wage and rent growth in the country, with rents growing over seven times faster than wages did last year. As summer approaches and leasing activity typically peaks, the city’s renters brace for further strain on their already stretched budgets. The affordability crisis threatens to deepen, leaving many struggling to keep a roof over their heads in the city they call home.

Manhattan Investment Market: Foreign Buyers Drive Activity, but Uncertainty Persists

By Columbus International,16 April 20249 November 2024

Manhattan’s investment sales market kicked off the year with a bang, boasting its most robust three-month period since 2022. However, the surge in activity primarily stems from affluent foreign investors with their sights set on a handful of select properties. During the first quarter, commercial property transactions across the city amounted to a staggering $3 billion, with Manhattan accounting for $2.2 billion of that sum.

Although the transaction count was lower than any point since Q1 2023, the last instance Manhattan saw CRE sales surpassing $2 billion was in the final three months of 2022. A significant portion of the borough’s sales tally was attributed to a single deal—the $963 million acquisition of 715-717 Fifth Ave. by Gucci’s parent company, Kering, from Wharton Properties and SL Green. James Nelson, Principal and Head of Tri-State Investment Sales at Avison Young, remarked, “This perfectly illustrates the trend of luxury retailers purchasing their own properties within this market.” Another notable transaction was the $153 million sale of retail condos anchored by Home Depot at 401 E. 60th St. from Israeli firm Gazit Horizons to Hennick & Co., the family office of Canadian real estate tycoon Jay Hennick. Reportedly, Chanel and LVMH are vying for another Fifth Avenue tower.

Brandon Polakoff, Principal at Avison Young, noted, “Sales activity and demand primarily stem from the private sector, particularly foreign high-net-worth individuals driving the mid-market, with end-users fueling the high end.” However, these high-end transactions do not reflect the broader market, which still experiences significantly less activity compared to the long-term average. If the pace of Manhattan sales in Q1 persisted throughout the year, it would be 62% lower than the 10-year annual average. Nelson expressed optimism that potential rate cuts could stimulate buyers and sellers, but recent inflation news has dampened investor enthusiasm for the market. Uncertainty continues to shroud office properties as tenants gravitate towards premier offerings, leaving Class-B and C properties in limbo.

Although trophy assets remain unsold, properties at the lower end of the market are changing hands, indicating a significant decline in value. Political uncertainty has also cast a shadow over the housing sector, hampering sales of development sites and existing multifamily properties. Multifamily properties accounted for just a quarter of the total dollar volume in the quarter, despite being the most frequently transacted asset class. The second-largest sale of the quarter was A&R Kalimian Realty’s luxury residential building, The Aire, acquired by a joint venture between The Carlyle Group and Gotham Organization for $265 million. Meanwhile, Kushner Cos. sold its East Village portfolio for $41 million to Penn South Capital. However, the sale of 120-125 Riverside Drive by BGO to Aya Acquisitions for $31 million signaled potential trouble for parts of NYC’s rental market. The lack of significant multifamily sales also impacted development sites, with sales volume down 10% from the previous quarter. Nonetheless, the dollar volume for development sales witnessed a threefold year-over-year increase, reaching $205 million, as more condo developers entered the fray. Investors are eagerly awaiting the outcome of housing legislation in the state budget, as decisions regarding good-cause eviction and 421-a incentives will significantly influence their strategies moving forward.

Source: Bisnow

New York City Rental Market Shows Signs of Cooling with Increased Vacancy Rates

By Columbus International,17 January 2024

The residential rental market in New York City has been gradually cooling, with an increase in inventory and a rise in the rental vacancy rate in Manhattan to 3.4 percent, the highest level since July 2021. According to the December market report by Miller Samuel for Douglas Elliman, the median rental price in Manhattan remained flat at $4,050 per month on a year-over-year basis. In contrast, Brooklyn’s median rent increased by 5 percent to $3,469, although it was still down from its record high in July.

The higher vacancy rate in Manhattan suggests that rents are likely to decrease further across the five boroughs in 2024. This shift is attributed to landlords facing challenges in retaining tenants, leading to an anticipation of weakness in the market. The overall economic climate, coupled with the Federal Reserve’s promise of interest rate cuts next year, supports this trend. Listing inventory has grown in both Brooklyn and Manhattan over the past year, resulting in declining average rents and significant increases in new leases signed in December. Manhattan’s average asking rent decreased by 3.8 percent from November to December, reaching $4,952, and dipped 5.6 percent from the previous year. Meanwhile, new residential leases in Manhattan increased by nearly 8 percent to 3,632, a 14 percent year-over-year growth. Brooklyn experienced a decrease in the average monthly rent to $3,754 in December, down 0.8 percent from the previous month and 1.6 percent from December 2022.

However, the median rental price rose by 5 percent year-over-year to $3,469. The listing inventory in Brooklyn increased by 8 percent compared to the previous year, with a 115 percent surge in the number of new leases signed. In Queens, Elliman and Miller Samuel tracked only Long Island City and Astoria. Average asking rents in these areas rose by 6 percent month-over-month to $3,601, and nearly 10 percent on a year-over-year basis. The number of new leases signed in northwest Queens increased by 26 percent from the previous month and 58 percent from December 2022.

Top 50 Priciest New York Neighborhoods in Q3 2023: Brooklyn Breaks into the Top 3 for the Second Time This Year

By Columbus International,8 November 2023

In the third quarter of 2023, residential property sales in New York City continued to experience a gradual decline, with both sales numbers and median prices dropping compared to the same period the previous year. By the end of September, the median sale price in NYC stood at $750,000, which was a 1% decrease from the third quarter of 2022. However, the most significant decline was seen in the number of sales, as there were 24% fewer residential transactions in the city compared to the previous year, resulting in approximately 2,400 fewer closed deals in the third quarter of this year.

On a positive note, quarter-over-quarter sales numbers showed an increase of 418 transactions, indicating a seasonal trend similar to 2022 and 2021, where third-quarter sales surpassed those of the second quarter. During the same period, the median sale price remained relatively stable. Nevertheless, the year-to-date data through September revealed a 28% decrease in the number of closed residential deals in NYC compared to the same timeframe in the previous year, with a total of 20,833 sales recorded. Notably, among the top 50 neighborhoods (which included 56 neighborhoods due to some ties), 24 were from Manhattan, 23 from Brooklyn, and nine from Queens. Notably, none of the Bronx neighborhoods made it to the list this quarter, despite the Bronx’s historic appearance in the top 50 during the first quarter of the year. The median sale price in the Bronx was $362,000, marking a 6% decrease from the previous year, which was the most significant year-over-year decline in median sale price among the four boroughs. Across all four boroughs, median sale prices experienced slight declines compared to the previous year, with Queens following the Bronx with a 2% drop, and Brooklyn and Manhattan both seeing 1% decreases. Similarly, overall sales activity decreased in each borough, with Brooklyn experiencing a 26% drop, Manhattan and Queens both recording 24% decreases, and the Bronx seeing a 22% decrease compared to the third quarter of 2022.

Unsurprisingly, Manhattan continued to host some of the most expensive neighborhoods in New York City, with seven out of the top 10 spots. Brooklyn also made its presence felt in the top three, securing two spots. Among the top 10 neighborhoods, seven saw an increase in the median sale price, while sales activity decreased in seven of them. Hudson Yards remained the most expensive neighborhood in NYC with a median sale price of $8,150,000, marking a substantial 39% increase from the previous year. This increase can be attributed to the larger average square footage of properties sold in the third quarter of 2023 compared to the previous year. However, Hudson Yards saw an 8% year-over-year decline in the number of residential deals during the quarter. SoHo secured the second spot with a median sale price of $4.2 million, surpassing TriBeCa in the second quarter of 2023. The median sale price in SoHo was 77% higher than in the third quarter of 2022, although the number of sales decreased significantly by 48% during the same period. Brooklyn’s DUMBO took the third position, with a 60% year-over-year increase in its median sale price, rising from $1,775,000 in the third quarter of 2022 to $2,833,000 in the third quarter of 2023. Hudson Square, TriBeCa, Flatiron District, Red Hook, Little Italy, Theatre District-Times Square, and Greenwood Heights completed the top 10. Manhattan’s median sale price was $1,125,000, while Brooklyn’s median reached $805,000 by the end of the third quarter, with more than half of Brooklyn’s neighborhoods experiencing a drop in median sale prices compared to the previous year.

Notably, DUMBO’s 60% increase in median sale price made it one of the top three neighborhoods, marking the second time a Brooklyn neighborhood achieved this since the first quarter of 2023 when Vinegar Hill held the position. DUMBO’s success can be attributed to 15 of its 33 sales taking place at Olympia, a condo building that significantly influenced the median sale price, with condos at Olympia selling for a median price of $4.95 million. Red Hook returned to the rankings after a year, recording nine residential sales above the $2 million median price threshold. Its median sale price also increased by 30% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Greenwood Heights, previously ranked #23, climbed to the 10th position this year, experiencing the fourth-highest increase in median sale price year-over-year in the third quarter among the top 50 neighborhoods.

The neighborhood also saw a 6% increase in sales activity. In addition to these three neighborhoods, nine more neighborhoods had medians above $1 million, including Cobble Hill and Gowanus, which ranked 11th and 12th, respectively. Both neighborhoods experienced declines in medians and sales activity. Cobble Hill recorded the second-largest decline in year-over-year sales activity, falling by 58%, while Gowanus saw a 35% decrease in sales compared to the previous year. The most significant increase in sales activity was recorded in Manhattan Beach, up 25% year-over-year. Despite the increase in the number of transactions, the median sale price in Manhattan Beach dropped by 5% from the third quarter of 2022 to the third quarter of 2023, standing just below $1 million. Queens saw the sharpest increase in median sale price, with Little Neck experiencing a remarkable 121% year-over-year surge in the third quarter. Little Neck’s median sale price rose from $370,000 in the third quarter of 2022 to $818,000 in the third quarter of 2023, securing its place among the top 50 priciest neighborhoods in NYC. This increase occurred despite a notable drop in sales activity. Among the 50 most expensive neighborhoods, Queens also recorded the most significant decline in sales activity, with Queensboro Hill seeing a 61% decrease in the number of transactions. The most expensive neighborhood in Queens was Hunters Point, with a median sale price of $1,205,000, which was a 14% increase compared to the previous year, although sales activity fell by 21%. Auburndale was the next-priciest neighborhood, with a median sale price of $958,000, marking a 9% year-over-year increase.

Source: Property Shark

Brooklyn’s Real Estate Renaissance: A Thriving Market Amidst Urban Evolution. Here Is The Outlook For Brooklyn

By Columbus International,8 August 2023

New York’s real estate scene is buzzing with excitement, and the spotlight is firmly on Brooklyn. Recent outlooks reveal a remarkable transformation that has taken the borough by storm. Bed-Stuy is evolving into a modern-day Fort Greene, while Prospect Lefferts Gardens is swiftly becoming the new Park Slope. Venture down Tompkins or Nostrand for dinner, and you’ll witness firsthand the dynamic results of this urban boom. What’s more, Flatbush and East New York are breaking free from decades of stagnation, showcasing early signs of a striking revival.

Contrary to the headlines that often focus on New York’s upscale retail market challenges, Brooklyn is spearheading a retail revolution. A decade of transformative changes has left many neighborhoods craving more commercial options, igniting a wave of opportunity for local entrepreneurs. Their retail concepts are flourishing, driving them to establish multiple thriving locations in quick succession.

With commercial spaces available for as little as $5,000 to $10,000 per month on attractive avenues, the borough is fostering a bold entrepreneurial spirit that’s redefining its landscape.

Surprisingly, residential rents and prices have surged upward, defying expectations. Several factors fuel this ascent. Building new homes has become an uphill battle since the pandemic hit. Inflation has driven costs to unprecedented heights, straining budgets. Skilled labor and construction workers are in short supply, causing delays. Obtaining construction permits from local governments has turned into a lengthy process.

Moreover, New York State discontinued the critical tax abatement program known as 421A, a lifeline for developers and investors aiming to create market-rate rental housing. This absence has caused a virtual halt in new construction, contributing to a scarcity of available units.

Another factor lies in the transformation of New York City’s rental landscape. Historically, approximately 60,000 new rental units were added annually, a paltry figure for a global hub with nearly 9 million residents. However, a 2019 legislative decision eliminated the conversion of regulated properties into free-market housing, wiping out a significant chunk of supply virtually overnight.

This shift dramatically decreased investment demand, eroding values and exacerbating the dearth of free-market properties, ultimately making them more coveted and valuable.

As the city rebounds from the population exodus triggered by Covid-19, New York is on the path to recovery. Brooklyn’s allure is undeniable, attracting a wave of returning individuals, making it an attractive destination for investors. And while interest rates climb, they are outpaced by rising rents, painting a rosy picture for those considering long-term investment opportunities.

Despite a temporary dip from March 2022 to February 2023, largely due to the steepest interest rate surge in four decades, Brooklyn’s market remains steadfast. Multifamily properties are experiencing a renaissance, hitting all-time pricing highs in many neighborhoods. The allure of a 15% rent hike since February 2020 has enticed investors back into the fold, especially as higher interest rates become more justifiable. In the grand scheme, one thing is crystal clear: the need for increased housing development is undeniable. There’s a glimmer of hope on the horizon, with changing mindsets among city leaders. Governor Kathy Hochul, in particular, has unveiled an ambitious housing plan targeting the construction of 800,000 new residential units over a decade.

Despite initial setbacks, this signals a promising shift in policy. But it’s time for unity, not division. To ensure the Big Apple’s ongoing growth, it’s imperative that stakeholders and local communities unite in a harmonious dialogue. Only through collective effort can we realize the true potential of New York City’s real estate landscape, a hallmark of a civilized and world-class metropolis. If Brooklyn wishes to hold its winning streak, the State of New York must play its part. Supporting the borough’s vibrancy and inclusivity is paramount, echoing the sentiment that resonates throughout the entire city and across the nation. As Forbes aptly states, in the end, it’s a win-win for everyone.