Bronx

Bronx Renaissance: NYC’s 7,000-Unit Housing Plan Signals Borough’s Transit-Led Revival

By Columbus International,20 August 20249 November 2024

In a bold move to expand investment opportunities in New York City, Mayor Eric Adams has given the green light to a transformative plan for the East Bronx, an ambitious project that will add 7,000 new residential units.

The rezoning initiative, centered around four future Metro-North stations, exemplifies the growing trend of transit-oriented development. By 2027, residents of Parkchester/Van Nest, Morris Park, Hunts Point, and Co-op City will enjoy direct access to Manhattan’s Penn Station, reshaping and redefining the real estate landscape of these neighborhoods.

Key points:

7,000 new residential units, including 1,700 permanently income-restricted homes
$500 million investment in local infrastructure
Projected creation of 10,000 new jobs
Rezoning of 46 blocks, allowing residential use in previously commercial and manufacturing areas

This move represents the largest residential (and more) endeavor since the 2021 Gowanus project in Brooklyn. As Richard Tayar, founder and CEO of Columbus International, has often emphasized in these pages, the East Bronx is poised to attract developers and financiers, replicating the success seen in Gowanus, where projects like Domain Cos. and Vorea Group’s 420 Carroll are already operational.

Vivien Krieger, co-chair of Cozen O’Connor’s zoning practice, describes the plan as “significant and exciting,” highlighting the potential to transform the East Bronx into a regional connector. The rezoning is expected to particularly benefit areas around the new train stations, with Montefiore Health System already exploring expansion opportunities near the Morris Park station.

Revitalizing and expanding the East Bronx aligns with the broader “City of Yes” plan, which aims to add up to 108,850 new residential units over 15 years. It’s a timely intervention for the Bronx, which currently boasts the lowest median monthly rent ($1,280) and the tightest vacancy rate (0.82%) among New York City’s boroughs.

As New York faces its challenges, the East Bronx project stands as a testament to the city’s commitment to innovative, transit-oriented solutions. With its mix of affordable housing, job creation, and infrastructure improvements, this initiative could serve as a model for urban development in the coming years of revival for the City That Never Sleeps.

For investors and developers, the East Bronx presents a unique opportunity to participate in the revitalization of one of New York’s most promising areas. As Mayor Adams put it, “The Bronx bought a ticket to the future.” It remains to be seen how this ambitious bet will pay off for the city and its residents. At Columbus International, we view this wager with both pragmatism and anticipation.

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Preview photo on social media via Unsplash/Becky Phan

New York City Rental Market Shows Signs of Cooling with Increased Vacancy Rates

By Columbus International,17 January 2024

The residential rental market in New York City has been gradually cooling, with an increase in inventory and a rise in the rental vacancy rate in Manhattan to 3.4 percent, the highest level since July 2021. According to the December market report by Miller Samuel for Douglas Elliman, the median rental price in Manhattan remained flat at $4,050 per month on a year-over-year basis. In contrast, Brooklyn’s median rent increased by 5 percent to $3,469, although it was still down from its record high in July.

The higher vacancy rate in Manhattan suggests that rents are likely to decrease further across the five boroughs in 2024. This shift is attributed to landlords facing challenges in retaining tenants, leading to an anticipation of weakness in the market. The overall economic climate, coupled with the Federal Reserve’s promise of interest rate cuts next year, supports this trend. Listing inventory has grown in both Brooklyn and Manhattan over the past year, resulting in declining average rents and significant increases in new leases signed in December. Manhattan’s average asking rent decreased by 3.8 percent from November to December, reaching $4,952, and dipped 5.6 percent from the previous year. Meanwhile, new residential leases in Manhattan increased by nearly 8 percent to 3,632, a 14 percent year-over-year growth. Brooklyn experienced a decrease in the average monthly rent to $3,754 in December, down 0.8 percent from the previous month and 1.6 percent from December 2022.

However, the median rental price rose by 5 percent year-over-year to $3,469. The listing inventory in Brooklyn increased by 8 percent compared to the previous year, with a 115 percent surge in the number of new leases signed. In Queens, Elliman and Miller Samuel tracked only Long Island City and Astoria. Average asking rents in these areas rose by 6 percent month-over-month to $3,601, and nearly 10 percent on a year-over-year basis. The number of new leases signed in northwest Queens increased by 26 percent from the previous month and 58 percent from December 2022.

Top 50 Priciest New York Neighborhoods in Q3 2023: Brooklyn Breaks into the Top 3 for the Second Time This Year

By Columbus International,8 November 2023

In the third quarter of 2023, residential property sales in New York City continued to experience a gradual decline, with both sales numbers and median prices dropping compared to the same period the previous year. By the end of September, the median sale price in NYC stood at $750,000, which was a 1% decrease from the third quarter of 2022. However, the most significant decline was seen in the number of sales, as there were 24% fewer residential transactions in the city compared to the previous year, resulting in approximately 2,400 fewer closed deals in the third quarter of this year.

On a positive note, quarter-over-quarter sales numbers showed an increase of 418 transactions, indicating a seasonal trend similar to 2022 and 2021, where third-quarter sales surpassed those of the second quarter. During the same period, the median sale price remained relatively stable. Nevertheless, the year-to-date data through September revealed a 28% decrease in the number of closed residential deals in NYC compared to the same timeframe in the previous year, with a total of 20,833 sales recorded. Notably, among the top 50 neighborhoods (which included 56 neighborhoods due to some ties), 24 were from Manhattan, 23 from Brooklyn, and nine from Queens. Notably, none of the Bronx neighborhoods made it to the list this quarter, despite the Bronx’s historic appearance in the top 50 during the first quarter of the year. The median sale price in the Bronx was $362,000, marking a 6% decrease from the previous year, which was the most significant year-over-year decline in median sale price among the four boroughs. Across all four boroughs, median sale prices experienced slight declines compared to the previous year, with Queens following the Bronx with a 2% drop, and Brooklyn and Manhattan both seeing 1% decreases. Similarly, overall sales activity decreased in each borough, with Brooklyn experiencing a 26% drop, Manhattan and Queens both recording 24% decreases, and the Bronx seeing a 22% decrease compared to the third quarter of 2022.

Unsurprisingly, Manhattan continued to host some of the most expensive neighborhoods in New York City, with seven out of the top 10 spots. Brooklyn also made its presence felt in the top three, securing two spots. Among the top 10 neighborhoods, seven saw an increase in the median sale price, while sales activity decreased in seven of them. Hudson Yards remained the most expensive neighborhood in NYC with a median sale price of $8,150,000, marking a substantial 39% increase from the previous year. This increase can be attributed to the larger average square footage of properties sold in the third quarter of 2023 compared to the previous year. However, Hudson Yards saw an 8% year-over-year decline in the number of residential deals during the quarter. SoHo secured the second spot with a median sale price of $4.2 million, surpassing TriBeCa in the second quarter of 2023. The median sale price in SoHo was 77% higher than in the third quarter of 2022, although the number of sales decreased significantly by 48% during the same period. Brooklyn’s DUMBO took the third position, with a 60% year-over-year increase in its median sale price, rising from $1,775,000 in the third quarter of 2022 to $2,833,000 in the third quarter of 2023. Hudson Square, TriBeCa, Flatiron District, Red Hook, Little Italy, Theatre District-Times Square, and Greenwood Heights completed the top 10. Manhattan’s median sale price was $1,125,000, while Brooklyn’s median reached $805,000 by the end of the third quarter, with more than half of Brooklyn’s neighborhoods experiencing a drop in median sale prices compared to the previous year.

Notably, DUMBO’s 60% increase in median sale price made it one of the top three neighborhoods, marking the second time a Brooklyn neighborhood achieved this since the first quarter of 2023 when Vinegar Hill held the position. DUMBO’s success can be attributed to 15 of its 33 sales taking place at Olympia, a condo building that significantly influenced the median sale price, with condos at Olympia selling for a median price of $4.95 million. Red Hook returned to the rankings after a year, recording nine residential sales above the $2 million median price threshold. Its median sale price also increased by 30% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Greenwood Heights, previously ranked #23, climbed to the 10th position this year, experiencing the fourth-highest increase in median sale price year-over-year in the third quarter among the top 50 neighborhoods.

The neighborhood also saw a 6% increase in sales activity. In addition to these three neighborhoods, nine more neighborhoods had medians above $1 million, including Cobble Hill and Gowanus, which ranked 11th and 12th, respectively. Both neighborhoods experienced declines in medians and sales activity. Cobble Hill recorded the second-largest decline in year-over-year sales activity, falling by 58%, while Gowanus saw a 35% decrease in sales compared to the previous year. The most significant increase in sales activity was recorded in Manhattan Beach, up 25% year-over-year. Despite the increase in the number of transactions, the median sale price in Manhattan Beach dropped by 5% from the third quarter of 2022 to the third quarter of 2023, standing just below $1 million. Queens saw the sharpest increase in median sale price, with Little Neck experiencing a remarkable 121% year-over-year surge in the third quarter. Little Neck’s median sale price rose from $370,000 in the third quarter of 2022 to $818,000 in the third quarter of 2023, securing its place among the top 50 priciest neighborhoods in NYC. This increase occurred despite a notable drop in sales activity. Among the 50 most expensive neighborhoods, Queens also recorded the most significant decline in sales activity, with Queensboro Hill seeing a 61% decrease in the number of transactions. The most expensive neighborhood in Queens was Hunters Point, with a median sale price of $1,205,000, which was a 14% increase compared to the previous year, although sales activity fell by 21%. Auburndale was the next-priciest neighborhood, with a median sale price of $958,000, marking a 9% year-over-year increase.

Source: Property Shark