apartment New York

The Big Apple’s Biggest Office Flip: Inside New York’s Largest Residential Conversion Project

By Columbus International,27 August 20249 November 2024

In a bold move that could reshape Manhattan’s skyline and real estate market, New York’s most ambitious office-to-residential conversion project is breaking ground. The former Pfizer headquarters near Grand Central Terminal is set to transform into a residential behemoth, potentially offering a blueprint for revitalizing urban centers in the post-pandemic era.

Key Takeaways:

A joint venture between Metro Loft Management and David Werner Real Estate Investments is spearheading the project.
The development secured a $75 million senior mortgage acquisition predevelopment loan from Northwind Group.
Upon completion, the project will yield approximately 1,600 residential units, making it New York’s largest office-to-residential conversion to date.

The Big Picture:

As cities grapple with record-high office vacancy rates and soaring apartment rents, adaptive reuse of commercial spaces has become a hot topic in urban planning circles. New York, along with Chicago and Washington, D.C., is at the forefront of this trend, seeking innovative solutions to address housing shortages and revitalize business districts.

“New York City is a very supply-constrained market,” Michael Ainbinder, managing director at Northwind, told Forbes. “It continues to see rent increases due to lack of supply. This project represents a well-located asset with strong sponsorship.”

The Players:

Metro Loft, founded by Nathan Berman in 1997, has established itself as a conversion powerhouse, transforming over 5 million square feet of office space into residential use in lower Manhattan over the past two decades. Their partnership with real estate veteran David Werner brings together deep expertise in both acquisition and conversion.

The Challenges:

Despite the promising outlook, office-to-residential conversions are not without hurdles. Industry professionals cite issues such as building layout, infrastructure requirements, and high costs as potential roadblocks. Northwind’s Ainbinder revealed that they fund only 10% to 20% of the conversion project requests they receive, underscoring the complexity of these undertakings.

The Trend:

The former Pfizer project is part of a larger movement. Design firm Gensler is set to open Pearl House, a conversion of a 1970s office tower in the Financial District, while SL Green Realty, Manhattan’s largest office landlord, is converting its property at 750 Third Ave to residential use.

Looking Ahead:

With New York estimating about 135 million square feet of outdated office space ripe for conversion, the race is on to reimagine urban landscapes. As Deputy Mayor Maria Torres-Springer noted, about 70 office buildings have already signed on to be part of the city’s office-to-residential “accelerator” program.

The Bottom Line:

As the largest office-to-residential conversion in New York’s history, the Pfizer project represents more than just a real estate deal. It’s a litmus test for the future of urban development, potentially setting the stage for a new era of adaptive reuse in America’s cities. For investors, developers, and city planners alike, all eyes will be on this transformative project as it unfolds in the heart of Manhattan.

Photo: Wikipedia | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Pfizer_World_Headquarters_Entrance.jpg
Source: CoStar

Manhattan Luxury Real Estate Sees Spring Surge: A Glimpse into New York’s High-End Property Market

By Columbus International,23 April 2024

Spring’s revitalizing touch has finally permeated Manhattan’s prestigious real estate realm, marking a notable upturn in activity, as reported by Olshan Realty. Donna Olshan, President of Olshan Realty and esteemed author of the report, illuminated the market’s resurgence, underscoring a pivotal shift in momentum.

In the week concluding Sunday, Manhattan witnessed the signing of 28 contracts for residences valued at $4 million or more, marking a noteworthy increase compared to the prior week’s lackluster performance. This resurgence, Olshan asserts, is characteristic of April’s prominence as one of the highpoints in the annual real estate calendar.

The contracts inked during this period encompassed a diverse array of properties, including 21 condos, five co-ops, one townhouse, and one condop, collectively commanding a substantial sum exceeding $263 million. Notably, a landmark transaction materialized for a full-floor co-op situated on the Upper East Side, with an asking price of $44.5 million, thus claiming the title of Manhattan’s most expensive co-op sale in nearly two years. The opulent ninth-floor unit boasts four bedrooms and offers sweeping vistas of Central Park, while indulging residents with an array of amenities such as doormen, a state-of-the-art gym, and bespoke wine cellar storage.

In a parallel narrative, the Manhattan luxury real estate landscape continues to captivate with its allure, evidenced by a myriad of enticing offerings. Among these, the second-priciest contract signed last week was for a prestigious Chelsea condo, commanding a princely sum of $25.6 million. Nestled within the esteemed One Highline building on West 18th Street, this resplendent unit affords breathtaking panoramas of the Hudson River, spanning an expansive 5,121 square feet and boasting four bedrooms, a grandiose great room with panoramic river views, and two loggias. The building itself stands as a testament to luxury living, offering an array of amenities including a state-of-the-art fitness center, a lap pool, rejuvenating spa-treatment rooms, a golf simulator, private dining facilities, and a sophisticated games lounge.

However, amidst this surge in luxury real estate activity, concerns linger over the broader trends shaping the market’s trajectory. Donna Olshan, in her discerning analysis, points to a concerning trend of uncharacteristically sluggish performance, with only 18 contracts sealed for properties valued at $4 million or more in the preceding week—a stark departure from historical benchmarks. Olshan cautions that such deviations from the norm warrant vigilant scrutiny, particularly within the context of April, typically heralded as a pinnacle month for real estate transactions.

Indeed, the dichotomy between the flourishing luxury segment and the broader market’s subdued performance remains palpable, reflecting the nuanced interplay of factors such as interest rates and inventory dynamics. While the overall real estate landscape contends with a 4% downturn in sales nationwide, luxury real estate defies the odds, recording a remarkable 2% uptick—a testament to the resilience of affluent buyers amidst prevailing market headwinds.

Notably, the surge in luxury transactions is underpinned by a surge in cash purchases, with nearly half of all luxury homes acquired through all-cash transactions—a trend further accentuated in Manhattan, where all-cash deals comprise a record 68% of total sales. This influx of liquidity not only shields buyers from the impact of rising interest rates but also fuels an upward trajectory in luxury home prices, with median prices soaring by an impressive 9% during the first quarter—a feat unmatched by the broader market.

Yet, amidst the backdrop of this exuberant narrative, regional nuances underscore the diverse tapestry of luxury real estate dynamics. Providence, Rhode Island emerges as an unlikely bastion of luxury price growth, boasting a staggering 16% uptick, followed closely by New Brunswick, New Jersey, with a commendable 15% increase. Conversely, New York City grapples with a 10% decline in luxury prices, highlighting the nuanced variations within the luxury segment.

In a landscape rife with contrasts, Seattle emerges as a beacon of resilience, posting robust growth in luxury home sales, with a staggering 37% increase. Not to be outdone, Austin, Texas, and San Francisco follow suit with commendable upticks of 26% and 24%, respectively—underscoring the diversified nature of luxury real estate dynamics across different metro areas.

As the luxury real estate saga unfolds, characterized by its ebbs and flows, one thing remains abundantly clear—New York City, with its timeless allure and unmatched sophistication, continues to command center stage in the global luxury real estate arena, offering a tantalizing glimpse into the epitome of urban opulence.

Photo via 111 West 57th Street

Experience Elevated Living: This Stunning New York Apartment Redefines Luxury Living as an Art Form

By Columbus International,27 March 2024

Dear friends,

Today our brokers take you to the sixtieth floor of an apartment located in the heart of Central Park and New York City. The direct elevator entry leads to a spacious full-floor residence, comprising three bedrooms and three and a half bathrooms. Stunning in design, the northern views offer postcard panoramas of Central Park and beyond, while to the south, views of the river and the skyline of Manhattan.

The finishes demonstrate an extraordinary commitment to craftsmanship and quality. Direct elevator access leads to the grand entrance gallery finished with white macauba stone floors. Dramatic double doors lead to the spacious living room with intricately patterned floors in smoked solid oak and floor-to-ceiling windows through which to enjoy the views.

The New York real estate market at your service

The beautifully designed open kitchen offers views of Central Park, custom cabinets with a light hand-rubbed finish, and countertops and backsplashes in white quartzite and a full suite of everything.

The luxurious primary bedroom suite boasts views of the city’s southern skyline, a spacious dressing room, and a bathroom with a window clad in veined white onyx with a custom bathtub in polished nickel and custom-designed faucets hand-cast.

The secondary bathrooms are finished with gold quartzite and the powder room features a jewel onyx stone sink, floors, and wainscoting.

Descending, here is a two-lane swimming pool with private cabins, sauna and separate treatment rooms, a double-height fitness center with mezzanine terrace, private dining room and chef’s catering kitchen, resident lounge with panoramic terrace, meeting rooms and study, 24-hour attended entrances and dedicated concierge service. Residents will have access to an on-site paddle court, golf simulator, and children’s playroom.

Want to know more? Contact our real estate agents today: info@columbusintl.com

From Covid era to 2024, the return to the office in New York City is still a “work in progress”

By Columbus International,11 March 2024

After nearly four years since the initiation of pandemic-induced lockdown measures, New York City‘s journey towards a full return to office life remains a work in progress. Along this path, the city is approaching two significant milestones, one presenting a positive outlook while the other brings a more somber tone.

The first milestone involves office attendance rebounding to nearly 80 percent of its pre-pandemic levels. New York stands out as one of the top-performing markets in this regard, with workplace visitations in 2023 reaching 77.5 percent of the figures seen in 2019, as reported by Placer.ai. This marked a significant leap forward from the preceding year, witnessing a foot traffic surge of over 30 percent compared to 2022. (Placer.ai’s metrics gauge activity within a building, encompassing ground-floor retail spaces, rather than merely the presence of office workers at their desks.)

Despite this progress, as any office owner would attest, New York still has a considerable distance to traverse. However, the situation appears graver elsewhere across the country. In cities like San Francisco, Los Angeles, Dallas, and Washington D.C., office attendance figures for 2023 lingered at levels well below half of pre-pandemic norms. Only Miami has managed to surpass New York’s performance, with 78.1 percent of 2019’s office attendance levels. Despite frequent anticipations of a game-changing return-to-office wave, progress has been incremental. Optimism surged once more at the onset of the new year, fueled by headlines proclaiming that “90% of Companies Will Return to Office By the End of 2024.”

This narrative echoes previous predictions, such as those made by Resume Builder in late 2022, asserting that “9 in 10 companies will require employees to work from the office in 2023,” based on a survey of 1,000 major business leaders. However, the actual implementation of return-to-office policies has proven sluggish. Even among companies that have succeeded in recalling most of their employees to the office, the transition to a full five-day workweek onsite has been challenging. Nationwide, office attendance remains down by approximately 33 percent on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays, dropping by nearly 50 percent on Mondays and Fridays. Only a handful of firms adhering to strict return-to-office protocols continue to utilize office space at pre-pandemic levels.

Many have adopted a hybrid model, allowing for a reduction in their physical footprints. Consequently, despite the gradual progress of the return-to-office movement, office owners continue to face significant challenges. Manhattan’s availability rate reached a record high of 18.2 percent in February, as reported by Colliers, edging closer to another milestone: 100 million square feet of available office space.

Across the borough’s primary office districts, total office absorption plummeted by 1.43 million square feet, bringing the cumulative available office space to 98.05 million square feet. Thus, while forecasts may paint an increasingly optimistic picture of an imminent return to office normalcy, healthy skepticism remains warranted regarding the immediate prospects for improvement in New York’s office market.

Source: The Real Deal

Riding the Real Estate Rollercoaster: New York City Market Trends Unveiled

By Columbus International,11 March 2024

Here are the latest developments in the New York City real estate market.

In the current landscape of the New York City housing market, the equilibrium between buyers and sellers holds significant importance. With a consistent decrease in housing inventory and a rise in median prices, the market tends to favor sellers. The limited availability of homes places sellers in advantageous positions, potentially leading to more favorable deals. However, this doesn’t necessarily translate to a gloomy outlook for buyers. The increased demand and fluctuating market dynamics offer opportunities for those looking to make strategic investments in real estate. The surge in home prices in New York reflects the impact of dwindling housing inventory and heightened demand. Consequently, the prevailing trend indicates that home prices aren’t declining but rather experiencing growth, signaling a robust market with the potential for lucrative returns for sellers.

The year 2024 began much like its predecessor, with low housing inventory and fluctuating interest rates around 6.5 percent, as reported by the New York State Association of REALTORS. The average rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage saw a slight decrease from 6.82 percent in December 2023 to 6.64 percent in January 2024. However, compared to the same period last year, the interest rate has shown an increase from 6.27 percent, highlighting the dynamic nature of the real estate market. One notable shift in the market is the continued decline in housing inventory, persisting for 11 consecutive months in year-over-year comparisons. Across New York, the inventory of homes for sale decreased by 10.2 percent, dropping from 39,544 homes in 2023 to 35,492 units in 2024. This limited supply presents challenges for buyers but also creates an environment where sellers may find opportunities to capitalize on the scarcity of available homes. New listings experienced a modest decline of 1.5 percent, totaling 9,279 in January 2024 compared to 9,423 in the same month of the previous year. Closed sales witnessed a more significant decrease, dropping by 3.8 percent from 7,486 to 7,203 homes in January 2024. Conversely, pending sales increased by 8.9 percent, indicating a potential rebound and heightened activity in the coming months. January saw a 6.7% increase in the number of homes entering into contracts, marking a positive turn as buyers returned amidst declining mortgage rates. This surge, slightly higher than the average over the past five years, is attributed to the drop in mortgage rates during November and December, enticing buyers back into the market post-year-end holidays. However, despite this uptick, challenges remain. Highly-priced homes are staying on the market for longer periods, keeping the city’s median asking price elevated.

Elevated asking prices, coupled with rising mortgage rates, are prompting sellers to make concessions to attract buyers, illustrating a nuanced market scenario. As of January, the median asking price in NYC stood at $1.095 million, reflecting an 11.7% increase from a year ago. This uptick is largely due to a slowdown in the luxury market, where homes priced at $4.975 million and above are taking longer to sell. The median asking price in Manhattan rose by 8.4% year-over-year to $1.68 million, indicating a resilient market experiencing notable shifts. While luxury listings in Manhattan witnessed an increase in median asking prices, the typical luxury listing received only 93.2% of its initial asking price, indicating a shift in power from sellers to buyers at the highest end of the market. In Brooklyn, where inventory is limited, the median asking price surged by 16.8% to $1.05 million. Meanwhile, Queens offers a more affordable option, with a 4.2% year-over-year increase, resulting in a median asking price of $624,900. The NYC housing market grapples with the aftermath of elevated mortgage rates and median asking prices, limiting the pool of potential buyers. While the monthly mortgage payment on a median-priced home rose by 16.1% year-over-year to $5,619 in January, the median asking rent increased by just 0.1% to $3,500. With a considerable number of potential buyers still on the sidelines, those who can afford to stay in the market now have more room for negotiation. The median asking price for homes entering into contracts in January was $925,000, 15.5% lower than the overall median asking price of homes on the market. This disparity indicates a market where more affordable homes are gaining traction among buyers, while the luxury segment experiences a slowdown. Despite the recent decline in mortgage rates, the outlook for the New York City housing market remains complex. Seller concessions, aimed at attracting buyers, have become more prevalent. In September 2023, when mortgage rates were above 7%, 2.7% of for-sale listings mentioned seller concessions. Despite a subsequent decline in average mortgage rates to 6.7%, concessions in January held steady at 2.3%, showcasing a significant increase from the 1.4% average in 2021.

Regarding negotiations, buyers are finding more areas to maneuver. NYC sellers are increasingly willing to offer concessions explicitly in their listings, helping to reduce closing costs for buyers without reducing the asking price. One notable concession gaining popularity is the rate buydown, with 1.7% of sponsor condos offering this option in January, a significant increase from the 0.1% average in 2021.

Record number of cash offers show New York property is only for the rich

By Columbus International,7 March 2024

The latest data reveals a striking trend in Manhattan’s real estate landscape: a surge in cash purchases accounting for over two-thirds of home sales last quarter, marking a record high. The driving force behind this shift is the soaring mortgage rates, which have soared to around 6 per cent, dissuading all but the wealthiest buyers from taking on loans.

Pamela Liebman, CEO of Corcoran, a prominent real estate brokerage, highlighted this phenomenon, stating that nearly 70 per cent of Manhattan properties were acquired without mortgages in the final quarter of 2023, a significant leap from the 55 per cent seen in the same period in 2022. High mortgage rates are creating a significant barrier for potential buyers without substantial financial resources, leading many to opt for renting instead. Corcoran’s report further underscores this trend, indicating a 4 per cent increase in new leases in Manhattan and Brooklyn in January 2024 compared to the previous year, alongside a record median rent of $3,950.

The reluctance to incur mortgage debt has led to a “void in the middle” of the property market, with affluent buyers dominating while those unable to pay cash face challenges amid escalating rents. The median sales price for Manhattan apartments reached $1.15 million in the fourth quarter, up 5 per cent from a year earlier, approaching the record high of $1.25 million set in the second quarter of 2022. However, the pace of buying has slowed, with prime properties lingering on the market for extended periods, contrasting with more affordable markets like Charlotte, North Carolina, where homes sell rapidly.

Despite a slight uptick in transactions in January, Thomas Ryan, a property economist at Capital Economics, notes that the US housing market remains stagnant, with transactions significantly below the 2010s average. Erin Sykes, a real estate agent and economist, attributes the surge in cash purchases to buyers seizing opportunities amid rising mortgage rates, viewing them as an advantageous time to strike deals. The challenges facing buyers in New York are further compounded by a severe housing shortage attributed to regulations limiting rent increases and the expiration of tax incentives for new construction projects. Mayor Eric Adams has proposed converting obsolete office buildings into residential towers as a potential solution, although this presents technical and cost-related hurdles.

The supply crunch has significantly reduced vacancy rates, plummeting from nearly 4.5 per cent in 2021 to 1.4 per cent, exacerbating affordability concerns and pricing many out of the market. As Liebman aptly summarizes, New York’s housing market is currently facing rough terrain, posing significant challenges for aspiring buyers.

From Bulgari to Porsche: Branded Residences Are Flooding the Prime Market – and Selling

By Columbus International,30 January 202430 January 2024

In 1927, the Sherry-Netherland apartment hotel marked a milestone as the world’s first “branded” residence on New York’s Fifth Avenue. Leveraging the reputation of the popular Sherry’s restaurant, the property, with its Gothic minaret and elegant apartments, made waves in the realm of luxury real estate. Fast forward almost a century… and here, the category of “branded” residences has experienced a significant increase, growing by about 150% in the last decade. Today, the landscape boasts over 700 branded residential developments, totaling over 100,000 homes in various stages of completion or planning globally, according to WATG Strategy. And a doubling of the sector’s size is expected by 2027, fueled by increasing interest in established markets like New York, Miami, London, Dubai, as well as in emerging markets like Oman, Poland, and Guyana.

What distinguishes recent years, besides the exponential growth of the sector, is the variety of brands eager to participate, particularly in the luxury segment. In addition to traditional hotel companies, fashion and jewelry houses like Armani, Roberto Cavalli, Fendi, and Bulgari, along with car manufacturers like Porsche, Bentley, and Aston Martin, have entered the arena. Chris Graham, founder of Graham Associates, defines a home with these designer labels as a “trophy purchase.” For both consumer companies and real estate developers, such collaborations prove advantageous for both parties. Recognizable brand names can command premiums on high-end developments, even in the most competitive markets. Edgardo Defortuna, president and founder of Fortune International Group in Miami, emphasizes the tangible impact of these brands, not only in terms of premiums but also in accelerating the sales processes. Historically, hotel companies have dominated the development of branded properties, constituting approximately 84% of the sector.

The expertise of hoteliers in the development and management of properties aligns well with the concept of residences as long-term versions of short-stay hotel rooms. Hospitality brands continue to be attracted to real estate, with Peninsula, Aman, and Rosewood making significant strides. Peninsula Residences London, with a reported sale of a penthouse for around $123 million to hedge fund magnate Ken Griffin, showcases the allure of these developments. Aman reported sales of branded residences totaling $2.4 billion in 2022, and Rosewood Residences has expanded its pipeline by over 200% in the last two years. Contributions are also expected from Mandarin Oriental, Six Senses, Equinox, and Faena. However, the shift to branded residences without adjacent hotels is not without challenges, as providing exclusive services and amenities solely for residents can result in higher maintenance costs. The market becomes more intricate for non-hospitality brands venturing into residential development. Companies like Jacob the Jeweler, Nobu, and Casa Tua, originally renowned for their expertise in jewelry, sushi, and Italian cuisine, are becoming lifestyle brands with real estate projects. Miami, a hub for international buyers and a city ranked among the top for branded developments, is experiencing an eclectic boom. Luxury automobile brands like Bentley Residences, Aston Martin Residences, and Porsche Design Tower are making significant strides, offering unique amenities like the futuristic “Dezervator” elevator in the Porsche tower.

Porsche and Aston Martin are targeting their enthusiasts, offering exclusive deals like a limited-edition Aston Martin Vulcan race car with a $59 million penthouse in Miami. As these brands enter the residential development space, they emphasize maintaining the aesthetic and craftsmanship associated with their luxury vehicles. Bentley’s first residential project, scheduled to open in 2026, aligns with the brand’s commitment to sustainable luxury. By 2030, Bentley aims to sell 100% electric cars, targeting a more progressive audience interested in sustainability. In New York, the third-largest market for branded residences globally, Aman exemplifies the trend with ultra-luxury residences, a five-star hotel, and a private club within a beautifully restored Art Deco building. This integrated approach, offering top-end buyers every imaginable indulgence under one roof, indicates a growing desire for security and confidence in markets where wealth is still relatively new.

Source: Robb Report
Photo: Bentley Residences

Anagram Columbus Circle Luxury Rentals: 50% Occupied, Monthly Rents Soar to $26,000

By Columbus International,29 January 2024

A new 26-story luxury rental development in Manhattan, Anagram Columbus Circle, has reached the halfway mark in terms of occupancy just six months after opening for leasing. Situated at 1 W. 60th St., at the intersection of West 60th Street and Broadway, and in close proximity to Central Park, the upscale property boasts monthly rents reaching as high as $26,000. Global Holdings, the developer responsible for other prestigious residential projects in New York such as 15 Central Park West, has reported that Anagram Columbus Circle has drawn residents not only from various parts of the United States but also from overseas.

Leasing commenced in July, with a Global Holdings spokesperson stating to CoStar News that move-ins are currently underway, and all amenities are expected to be fully completed by spring. The rental units at Anagram Columbus Circle range from $4,660 for a studio to $26,750 for a four-bedroom unit, according to the spokesperson. Eyal Ofer, Chairman of Global Holdings, emphasized the sustained demand for premium rentals, citing the success of their previous projects like 15 Central Park West, Greenwich Lane, and 520 Park. The developer’s extensive portfolio spans over 10 million square feet of real estate, encompassing more than 120 properties and over 1,500 hotel rooms.

Anagram Columbus Circle features 123 residences, including three penthouses situated at the top of the building. Designed by INC Architecture & Design, the property is said to offer condo-level design and boasts 13,000 square feet of amenity space. The leasing success of Anagram Columbus Circle coincides with a CoStar analysis indicating a 2.9% vacancy rate in Manhattan’s Upper West Side, where the property is located. This vacancy rate remains near historic lows, making it one of the lowest among U.S. neighborhoods with at least 20,000 units. With asking rents of $4,950 per unit, the Upper West Side market is noted for its high prices within the New York metropolitan area. The low vacancy rate has provided landlords with the opportunity to push rents higher, according to the report.

Photo via Anagram

Challenges and Hope: The Roller Coaster Ride of US Home Sales in 2023

By Columbus International,23 January 2024

In 2023, the US housing market faced significant headwinds, resulting in a nearly 30-year low in previously occupied home sales. Rising mortgage rates, soaring prices, and limited inventory created a challenging landscape for prospective homeowners. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), existing home sales plummeted to 4.09 million last year, marking an 18.7% decline from 2022. This represents the weakest year for home sales since 1995 and the most substantial annual drop since the housing slump of 2007. The median national home price reached a record high of $389,800, experiencing a modest uptick of just under 1% for the entire year, as reported by the NAR. The surge in mortgage rates in 2023, reaching a two-decade high of 7.08% in late October, added to the challenges.

The Federal Reserve’s efforts to cool the economy and control inflation contributed to this increase. High borrowing costs, coupled with already soaring home prices, constrained the purchasing power of potential homebuyers. However, there’s a glimmer of hope on the horizon. Mortgage rates have been easing since November, aligning with a decrease in the 10-year Treasury yield. The optimism stems from the belief that inflation has subsided enough for the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates this year. As of this week, the average rate on a 30-year home loan stands at 6.6%, according to Freddie Mac. Economists anticipate further rate easing, which could boost demand as the spring homebuying season approaches in late February. Despite the positive outlook, the current average rate remains significantly higher than two years ago when it stood at 3.56%. This substantial gap has contributed to a limited supply of previously occupied homes on the market, as homeowners with rock-bottom rates hesitate to sell. In December, existing home sales declined by 1% from the previous month, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.78 million—the slowest pace since August 2010, according to the NAR. December’s sales fell by 6.2% from a year earlier, missing economists’ expectations. Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist, remains cautiously optimistic, stating, “The latest month’s sales look to be the bottom before inevitably turning higher in the new year. Mortgage rates are meaningfully lower compared to just two months ago, and more inventory is expected to appear on the market in upcoming months.” While challenges persist, there is anticipation for a positive shift in the housing market as we step into the new year.

Source: New York Post

Manhattan Real Estate Sees Record Cash Transactions Despite Mortgage Rate Surge

By Columbus International,4 January 2024

Manhattan’s residential real estate landscape is witnessing a historic surge in cash transactions for condominiums and co-ops, setting a new record despite recent signs of a slight easing in mortgage rates.

According to the Manhattan quarterly sales report by Douglas Elliman, compiled by appraiser Miller Samuel and released on Wednesday, cash sales accounted for over two-thirds of transactions in the fourth quarter, marking a significant increase from the third quarter’s 56.7%. This surge in cash purchases is attributed to a “sharp rise” in mortgage rates, reaching the highest levels since 2000.

Freddie Mac data reveals that by October, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage had climbed to nearly 7.8%, a level not seen since 2000, driven by the Federal Reserve’s series of rate hikes over the past two years. However, there was a slight decrease below 7% in mid-December, and recent indications suggest a continued downward trend in rates. The Federal Reserve has hinted at the possibility of further rate cuts this year, which could potentially stimulate the sales market.

The fourth-quarter report also highlights a 5.1% year-over-year increase in the median sales price in Manhattan, reaching $1.16 million. This uptick marks the first increase in five quarters and represents the second-highest fourth-quarter level on record. Concurrently, the year-over-year listing inventory declined for a third consecutive quarter, contributing to the overall market dynamics.

Jonathan Miller, the President and CEO of Miller Samuel, anticipates that potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could invigorate the sales market, diverting demand from the highly competitive rental market. This shift in demand is evident in a separate Elliman report, revealing a drop in the median rent in November for the first time in over two years, signaling a cooling trend in Manhattan’s previously red-hot rental market.