Italy’s financial hub continues to dominate the national real estate landscape, with growth projections cementing its position as a leader in the premium property market. A comprehensive analysis by Tecnocasa reveals an evolving market where property quality increasingly dictates valuation.
Market Overview
Milan continues to lead the Italian real estate sector, with projected price increases of 2-4% for 2025. This upward trajectory extends across most of Lombardy, with Sondrio being the only exception, facing a potential 3% decline.
Market Catalysts
According to Fabiana Megliola, Tecnocasa’s Head of Research, two key factors are driving market momentum: “Lower mortgage rates combined with recent Revenue Agency data point to a rebound in transactions for 2025.” The sector receives additional support from the Consap Fund’s mortgage guarantee program for young buyers, extended through 2027, which could stimulate entry-level market activity.
Growing Market Divide
A clear pattern is emerging: the market is splitting between high-quality properties and aging ones. Premium properties featuring superior energy efficiency and prime locations are expected to appreciate steadily. In contrast, properties requiring substantial renovation may face value depreciation, particularly given new European energy regulations and reduced renovation tax incentives.
Rental Sector Dynamics
The rental market exhibits robust growth, with rates trending upward due to strong demand. A notable shift is occurring as property owners consider moving from short-term to long-term rentals, potentially reshaping the sector’s landscape.
Investment Prospects
Milan’s real estate sector remains highly attractive to investors across both short-term and traditional rental markets. Tourist destinations continue to draw international investment, underscoring the resilience of the luxury property segment.
Strategic Outlook
2025 appears poised to be a year of market maturation in Milan’s real estate sector, with property quality emerging as the key determinant of investment success. Investors should prioritize construction standards and location – factors that will increasingly influence long-term value appreciation.